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Can We Save Wine from Wildfires?

2026-01-05 20:06:02

2026-01-05T11:00:00.000Z

According to Mike Zolnikov, who tends a couple of acres of Pinot Noir and an acre of Chardonnay on a flat, slightly soggy patch of the central Willamette Valley, in Oregon, it had been a once-in-a-decade growing season. “Not too hot, not too wet,” he recalled, wistfully. “It would have been a really great year.” A few hundred miles south, in California’s Napa Valley, the winemaker Ashley Egelhoff, of Honig Vineyard and Winery, was feeling similarly about her Cabernet and Sauvignon Blanc. “That’s how 2020 was panning out: like Goldilocks, just right,” she told me.

For wine growers and makers, each season offers a series of fresh yet familiar opportunities for disaster. Drought shrivels the grapes; excessive heat deprives the juice of acidity; too much rain results in rampant mold. “But that’s the fun of it,” Egelhoff said. “Every harvest brings a surprise.” The gamble of spraying early or of picking the grapes late, the black magic of fermentation, the art of blending: it’s precisely the puzzle of chance and choice that keeps winemakers hooked. Plus, every now and then, as in 2020, you get perfect conditions. “Then everything went to hell,” Egelhoff said.

That August, the West Coast’s worst fire season in history began. More than eleven thousand bolts of lightning struck central and Northern California in the span of thirty-six hours, heralding the start of an orange-skied autumn in which flights were suspended, more than eight million acres burned across twelve states, and winemakers’ dreams of a perfect vintage went up in flames. “The lightning storm came over on the first day we were bringing Sauvignon Blanc in, and within a couple of hours there was smoke,” Egelhoff told me. “I was on the crush pad—we were unloading our first truck of fruit—and it was probably one of the most heartbreaking moments of my career.”

In the past few decades, as wildfires have become larger, faster, and more severe because of climate change, the focus has been on the considerable damage caused by the flames themselves; the smoke has been thought to be relatively harmless. Only recently have scientists realized that the opposite is true. In humans, smoke inhalation has been linked to heart and lung damage and to multiple forms of cancer; this year researchers in Europe concluded that they had underestimated death tolls from short-term wildfire-smoke exposure by ninety-three per cent. In the United States, smoke exposure is estimated to have caused tens of thousands of deaths every year between 2010 and 2020—an order of magnitude more than the number of lives lost to the actual fires.

Plants don’t have lungs, of course, but grapevines do breathe, absorbing oxygen and other atmospheric gases—including smoke—through small pores on the underside of their leaves, or by diffusion across the fruit’s thin, waxy skin. The result is smoke taint, a flaw in wine that has been described as tasting “like Las Vegas smells,” like “burnt salami served on an ashtray,” and, perhaps most evocatively, like the morning after a big night out, when “you’ve smoked a bunch of cigarettes and then you wake up, smell your hands, and regret your entire life.”

Although many wine drinkers have remained blissfully ignorant of this addition to wildfires’ already heavy toll, it has been disastrous for winemakers. One analyst concluded that the 2020 wildfires cost the California wine industry nearly four billion dollars, an amount that includes both direct fire damage and sales lost owing to smoke exposure. “We had brought in just twenty tons of Sauvignon Blanc, and we had to assume that everything else was ruined,” Egelhoff said. “It was a lost vintage.” The hundreds of thousands of tons of California grapes left unharvested that year were estimated to be worth more than six hundred million dollars alone. Oregon suffered similarly. “For a couple of days, it was a red sky, and then there was no sky,” Zolnikov said. “It was just solid smoke.” He painstakingly cleaned all the ash off his vines before harvest, but when winemakers shared the bottles they’d made with his grapes they still tasted acrid and smoky.

Clearly, the best way to prevent smoke taint would be to prevent wildfires in the first place. In the meantime, the wine industry is desperate to protect its grapes. As 2020 drew to a close, a trio of West Coast researchers—Tom Collins, at Washington State University; Elizabeth Tomasino, at Oregon State University; and Anita Oberholster, at the University of California, Davis—proposed an ambitious, “smoke to glass” effort aimed at finding an answer. “That year made it very clear we need to be better prepared,” Tomasino told me. The U.S.D.A., which normally has a puritanical reluctance to fund research that might be used by the beer, wine, and spirits industry, awarded the team $7.65 million in 2021. “As devastating as 2020 was, that’s the silver lining,” Egelhoff, who recalled sending the trio “a very angry e-mail” that year, complaining about a lack of help from researchers, said. “It really pushed them to get the solutions we need.”

In September, I joined Collins and a group of students on a trip to Washington State University’s experimental vineyards, in the Yakima Valley. It was early morning, and two sunrises lit the horizon. The false dawn, to the north, was a wildfire: overnight, a lightning strike had ignited the desiccated grasses of Rattlesnake Ridge, casting the hills around us into ominous relief. It was a stark reminder of the reason we’d woken up at this hour. Before the morning was over, we would simulate a rangeland fire of our own, to study the impact of smoke on wine grapes.

Collins runs the most impressive smoke-taint experiments in the country. Whereas Tomasino’s team, in Oregon, works with a handful of vines at a time, Collins smokes the equivalent of a quarter-acre vineyard in large hoop houses, allowing him to get closer to real-world conditions—and to make a decent amount of truly terrible wine. (Sadly, Oberholster died, from cancer, last year.) Each house encloses two hundred Merlot vines, and once we arrived we began pulling shade cloths over them, to the accompaniment of a portable speaker pumping out Fleetwood Mac. Three of the houses were to remain smoke-free, as an experimental control. In three others, we used zip ties to hang fat swags of vented plastic hosing along each row of vines, directly under the clusters of purple grapes.

A shop where moms throw away toys that their child has grown out of.
Cartoon by Zachary Kanin

The students and I wrangled tarps and zip ties while Collins, who volunteers with the Boy Scouts, issued instructions leavened with gentle ribbing and reminders to hydrate. He fussed with the hoses, hooking them up to three battered grills. The light turned salmon, then golden, as we worked. Collins told the students to gather a few clusters and leaves for a pre-smoke sampling but to avoid vines with pink or orange tags, as these had been treated with an experimental barrier spray. Finally, with the samples stashed safely in an ice chest, Collins opened the grills, blowtorched some pellets inside, and watched as the smoke got going. I poked my nose through a slit in one of the houses as it filled with a pungent haze: the pellets were handcrafted from more than a dozen local rangeland species, including sagebrush, cheatgrass, and tumble mustard, all painstakingly collected by summer interns.

Although fire has been mankind’s constant companion and wine likely predates most agriculture, smoke-tainted wine seems to be a relatively recent phenomenon. “People weren’t really aware of it, but it probably had been happening,” Mango Parker, a senior research scientist at the Australian Wine Research Institute, told me. She pointed me to a reference in an Italian enological textbook from 1892, which lists “smoky taste” as a potential flaw in wine—fortunately “found more rarely in Italian wines than in German.”

In modern times, Australians have taken the lead in the war against smoky taste. In January and February of 2003, at the start of harvest season, the state of Victoria experienced its biggest bushfire in decades: an area larger than Sydney burned, and the A.W.R.I. began receiving calls from winemakers whose vintage was exhibiting pronounced notes of ashtray. At the time, Collins was a researcher at Beringer, an Australian-owned winery in Napa Valley; after a relatively meat-and-potatoes upbringing, he’d fallen in love with wine in New York’s Finger Lakes region while studying Russian at Cornell. But it wasn’t until 2008, when a thick haze of wildfire smoke blanketed Northern California for much of the summer, that Collins became aware of the problem, and it wasn’t until 2017, when fires briefly left Napa with the worst air quality in the nation, that smoke taint became part of the vocabulary of West Coast winemakers. “Everyone was talking about smoke taint that year,” Esther Mobley, the senior wine critic for the San Francisco Chronicle, told me. “But, for the most part, it really wasn’t an issue because of the time of year that the wildfires happened.” Ninety per cent of grapes had already been picked, so the damage was limited.

“Everything changed in 2020,” Mobley continued—both on the West Coast and in Australia, where bushfires were catastrophic, generating their own weather and pushing entire species toward extinction. Andrew Spinaze, a winemaker in Australia’s Hunter Valley, told me that he received several calls from his Napa Valley counterparts asking what to do. “We were saying we don’t really know,” he admitted. Part of the problem was that harvesting is expensive, and no one could tell whether a batch of grapes would, in time, yield a ruined vintage. “It became a huge question: Were you going to make wine that year or not?” Mobley said. In California and Oregon, the laboratories that typically perform analytical chemistry for wineries were quickly overwhelmed. “The labs were backed up for months, so people were sending samples of grape juice to Australia and to Canada,” Mobley said. “By the time you got the information back, the moment to harvest had passed anyway.”

By then, Collins had been intentionally smoking grapes for years; the very first grant proposal he wrote when he joined the faculty at W.S.U., in 2015, was for the hoop-house program. As we watched the fumes rise in his makeshift wildfire, the morning’s chirps and caws gave way to coyote howls. “Our exposures are typically thirty-six hours, which we’ve found is enough time for us to definitely get smoke impact,” Collins said. He took the night shift, maintaining smoke levels while watching “Zoolander” and “Spaceballs” on his laptop. We reconvened the next evening, just before sunset, to tear down the hoop houses and stow the gear. Collins wheeled away the grills for winter storage; a freezer was stacked with ziplock bags of sample grapes and leaves, ready for analysis. The fruit was still a few weeks shy of harvest, but I popped a tiny grape in my mouth anyway. After thirty-six hours of smoke exposure, it was still a treat, the juice delightfully sweet as it trickled over my tongue.

How can a smoke-tainted grape taste delicious off the vine, only to become acrid and ashy in the bottle? This conundrum obsessed Tomasino, a cheerful scholar of flavor chemistry whose research, though focussed on wine, has also considered the intricacies of coffee roasting and the impact of terroir on cheese. After the 2020 debacle, one of the most frequent requests that Tomasino fielded from anxious winemakers was for a kind of palate training, to help them get to know the enemy. This is a common practice among sommeliers and vintners: to learn how to identify the musty, wet-cardboard notes of cork taint, for example, they’ll sip glasses spiked with TCA, the compound that causes it. Now they wanted a mixture that re-created smoke taint—which meant that Tomasino had to figure out how to mimic something whose chemical composition had yet to be determined.

This was not a simple task. The glass of red you reach for at the end of a long day, the champagne you raise in a toast, the funky orange you order to look sophisticated: each contains between two hundred and four hundred aromatic compounds. The earthy quality so prized in a Cabernet Sauvignon is due to a smidge of pyrazine, a volatile molecule more commonly found in peas and bell peppers; the gasoline note of an aged Riesling comes courtesy of a compound called TDN. Sommeliers are fond of saying that wine is the second most complex liquid in the world, after blood. Tomasino told me this is not necessarily a scientific claim; still, the sheer quantity of chemicals interacting in a glass gives the search for offenders a needle-in-a-haystack quality.

When Australian researchers started considering the problem, in 2003, they identified two chemicals—guaiacol and 4-methylguaiacol—as the primary components of smoke. But the presence of these compounds in grapes failed miserably as a diagnostic for smoke taint. In 2009, Australian growers and winemakers sent samples in for testing during another disastrous fire season; when the A.W.R.I. didn’t detect excessive amounts of the two chemicals, vintners went ahead and bottled as usual. “The wines were just terrible,” Parker recalled. “They became smokier and smokier over time, and the thing the winemakers really hated was an ashy aftertaste that developed even after they spat it out.”

Part of the issue involved the grapevines’ own defense mechanism. Guaiacol and other smoke-related compounds are poisonous to plant cells, but plants have developed an elaborate in-house detoxification system, in which dangerous chemicals are quickly bound to sugar molecules, making them less reactive, odorless, and easier to sequester. This process, which was already under way as Collins watched “Zoolander” outside his hoop houses, seems to be quite effective for grapes; unfortunately for the humans who want to turn them into wine, it’s a ticking time bomb. Fermentation, which uses yeast to break down the sugars in grape juice, transforming single-note sweetness into the complex, delicious alcohol enjoyed by so many, also unlocks those smoky compounds; so, too, can the enzymes in human saliva. Testing for guaiacol and its friends in grapes failed to account for the fact that the chemicals were still bound to the new sugar compounds, called glycosides.

After one of Parker’s colleagues pointed this out, in 2010, the A.W.R.I. promptly added a handful of glycosides to its list of least-wanted compounds. But the test was still far from perfect, Tomasino told me. In desperation, she assigned a graduate student, Jenna Fryer, to burn all sorts of things—marshmallows, paper, charcoal—and then dilute them, hoping to develop a recipe for replicating the smoke-taint sensation. After sampling at least fifteen of these tinctures without much success—“I still have nightmares about some of the things we tasted,” Tomasino said—it occurred to her that she’d heard the term “ashy” used in culinary circles, so she told Fryer to chat with some chefs. This led Fryer to incinerate leek tips, brew the cremains using boiling water and a coffee filter, and then mix the result into wine. During a meeting, Tomasino served Collins some of Fryer’s burnt-leek beverage. “Tom looked at me, and he’s, like, ‘That’s literally the ashy aftertaste.’ And I said, ‘Right?’ ” she recalled, triumphantly. “Then I said, ‘I’m giving you a vial—tell me what’s in here.’ ”

Collins’s lab revealed that the leek tea was indeed loaded with smoky chemicals, and that it also contained another class of compounds: thiols. Thiols are responsible for the distinctive aromas of skunk spray and ripe durian; they’re also added to natural gas to provide a detectable rotten-egg smell at even trace levels. When Tomasino spiked red wine with guaiacol and similar chemicals, the mixture tasted like Band-Aids; if she used only thiols it had a vegetal aspect, reminiscent of Brussels sprouts. It took adding both to create the particular licking-a-grill notes of smoke taint.

Since then, Collins, by testing grapes that have been flash-frozen every few hours during one of his hoop-house experiments, has shown that the production of both glycosides and thiols seems to ramp up significantly during a smoke event—and that, like glycosides, bound thiols break apart during fermentation. Case closed. “This is a once-in-a-lifetime thing for a career, finding this, and it was pure dumb luck,” Tomasino told me, with a laugh. Astonishingly, given their impact, the levels of thiols in smoke-tainted wine are so vanishingly tiny that they’re measured in nanograms per litre. The team would never have spotted them just by analyzing a defective bottle.

In a fluorescent-lit sensory-testing facility at Oregon State University, Tomasino led me to a cubicle with a single computer, told me to follow the instructions on the screen, and wished me luck. Camilla Sartori, the facility manager, had set up a tray holding six black wineglasses, a spittoon, and two clear glasses, one filled with water and the other with a slightly sugary solution designed to be a palate cleanser. During the next sixty minutes, I sipped, swished, and spat while answering a barrage of questions about how the wines tasted, my emotional response to them, and my willingness to purchase.

Discovering the chemicals responsible for smoke taint is, sadly, only half the battle. When it comes to wine, perception is reality, and humans turn out to be remarkably varied in our responses to smoke taint. Among Tomasino’s recent findings is that at least ten per cent of drinkers can’t detect smoke taint in wine and many more don’t mind it, depending on the grape variety, wine style, and degree of taint. In Australia, similar studies have found that between nineteen and forty per cent of consumers, as the winemaker Peter Leske put it, “don’t care as long as it’s wet and it’s got alcohol.” Even among people who can detect smoke taint, Tomasino estimates, sensitivity varies at least a hundredfold. “I’ve made it a career goal to never work on saliva,” Tomasino told me. “But people have a lot of enzymes in their mouths, and they’re very different.”

After I’d spent an hour in the cubicle pondering whether I was tasting red fruit or dark fruit, and whether it made me feel bored, worried, or excited, Sartori tabulated my results and explained what I’d been drinking: a control glass of classic Willamette Valley Pinot Noir that hadn’t been exposed to smoke, a glass of commercially available smoke-tainted 2020 Pinot from the same region, and a series of samples that blended the two in different ratios. We established that I am prone to overthinking, that I’m not a huge fan of the earthy and acidic notes that are considered the hallmark of the region’s flagship varietal, and that the only sample I’d willingly purchase was a blend of one-quarter smoke-tainted wine and three-quarters not. According to my checklist, it tasted like tobacco, black pepper, and dark fruit, with a slight herbaceous note and a bitter finish.

My own idiosyncrasies aside, running this sensory test has helped Tomasino discover that the effects of blending are nonlinear, meaning a blend that is just five per cent smoked wine is typically perceived as having much more of an ashy aftertaste than one that is fifty-fifty. Tomasino credits this finding to a phenomenon that researchers call “matrix interactions,” in which the threshold at which a compound can be detected depends on its context. Research has shown that fruity esters can mask smoke taint, and that the molecules responsible for the cut-grass and green-apple notes of Sauvignon Blanc enhance it. “It makes for really complicated math,” Tomasino said.

To add to the complexity, smoke taint is inflected by subtle distinctions between grape varietals, too. Pinot Noir is universally acknowledged to be the most vulnerable to taint, for reasons that probably have to do with its famously thin skin; Syrah, in which a savory bacon note is considered desirable, naturally contains significant quantities of guaiacol, no wildfire required. (In general, red wines are especially susceptible to taint, because many smoky compounds are concentrated in the skins, which are left on during fermentation.) Still more variables are introduced when you consider the ripeness of the grapes—a smoke event earlier in the season may give the vine more time to metabolize toxic compounds, as opposed to one nearer harvest. And all these considerations are preceded by the unpredictable, impossible-to-model vagaries of smoke itself.

Grim Reaper holding huge mallet.
Cartoon by Roz Chast

Mike Kleeman, an environmental engineer at U.C. Davis who has been working with Collins and Tomasino, told me that gauging the harm of smoke exposure requires, at minimum, an understanding of how old the smoke is by the time it reaches the grapes, how reactive the atmosphere it travelled through was (sunshine chews up dangerous chemicals, making the smoke less harmful; chlorinated ocean air can have the same effect), what chemicals were in it in the first place (California’s coastal chaparral seems to have high concentrations of smoke-producing compounds), and even the topography of the vineyard.

With so many variables at play, the mental effort of evaluating smoke exposure in grapes can cause more of a headache than drinking the resulting bottle. Mobley, the wine critic, told me that, after tasting dozens of smoke-tainted wines over the years, she’s decided that it makes more sense to think of them as falling on a spectrum than as being defined by a single flaw. “Sometimes they can have that herbal, mezcaly smokiness, sometimes it’s more of a barbecue smokiness,” she said. “Sometimes you might not get any overtly smoky sensations but there’s kind of a shortness to the wine—it tastes fine, just a little lifeless compared with what it could have been.” Regardless, she said, industry professionals tend to prize a certain purity of terroir and varietal expression in their wines. For them, she said, “it’s just all bad.”

For grape growers and vintners concerned with making a living, the pursuit of smoke taint’s essence has thus far had relatively limited practical application. The industry wants inexpensive, field-based tests that can predict whether a wine will be tainted or not, effective techniques to remove smoke-taint compounds from wine, and—dare to dream!—technologies to protect grapes from smoke in the first place. Collins and Tomasino argue that understanding the nature of the problem is a precursor to achieving these goals, but they’re working on them nonetheless.

In his hoop-house experiments, for example, Collins has shown that spraying grapes with kaolin, a clay-based powder that is already used to shield grapes from sunburn, reduces post-exposure guaiacol levels by nearly half—a promising result. “The idea is that the kaolin absorbs things from the smoke and keeps them from getting to the fruit,” Collins said. “But we realized you have to wash the stuff off, because otherwise it just releases everything it has absorbed back into the grape.”

Indeed, wine made with unrinsed kaolin-sprayed grapes is the only thing I drank in the course of my reporting that was literally nauseating. “If you don’t rinse it off, you would have been better off doing nothing,” Collins said, as I sputtered and heaved. In his latest hoop-house experiment, he was testing just how quickly that rinse needs to occur, though any rinsing may be an obstacle for growers, since it requires more water, which is in short supply in many wine-growing regions, as well as more labor. Tomasino has recently been developing a different approach—a proprietary lipid spray, which doesn’t need to be washed off—but won’t be able to test it until the summer. “It works on the lab stuff, but we don’t know about in the field yet,” she said. Even if it succeeds, it may only reduce smoke-compound absorption—not prevent it altogether.

In other words, vintners still need a strategy for restoring the purity of their ferments. “An old winemaker friend told me about a technique where you use organic skim milk, and the proteins in the milk bind up some of the smoke compounds,” Andrew Jones, a winemaker at Field Recordings, in Paso Robles, told me. In desperation, he tried it; the proteins sank to the bottom and formed a sludge, allowing him to drain the wine off after twenty-four hours. “It did take away some smoke,” he said. “It also strips away some color.” Egelhoff and Leske experimented with mixing their smoky wines with activated carbon, which Leske referred to as “the tactical nuclear weapon of winemaking.” Carbon—like reverse osmosis, which requires costly equipment—can indiscriminately strip out smaller molecules, removing color and flavor along with any suspect chemicals. “There are a lot of treatments where you’re, like, ‘Well, there’s less smoke, but it’s also taken everything positive about the wine out,’ ” Egelhoff said. “So, is it really a better wine now?”

In search of a more targeted solution, Lik Rong Lim, one of Tomasino’s students, developed a clever way to extract thiols, inspired by his professor’s childhood dislike for the sulfuric smell of canned vegetables. Years ago, Tomasino puréed canned spinach and ran it through a rotary evaporator to remove any aromatics, then offered a sensory panel the result alongside the original. “I’ve never seen such a statistically significant result,” she told me. Removing sulfuric compounds made vegetables more palatable; could something similar save a smoked-out Cabernet? In the corner of Tomasino’s lab, Lim showed me his invention, which uses inert nitrogen to bubble the thiols out of wine and into gaseous form. They can then be piped into a separate flask full of a colorless liquid that has two useful properties: it exclusively traps thiols, and it turns yellow in the process. At Lim’s bench, we watched as the liquid turned the strawlike shade of dehydrated urine. Lim explained that the fluid, unlike carbon or other refining agents, is extremely selective and never comes into contact with the rest of the wine. “As a proof of concept, it totally works,” Tomasino said.

An actual, practicable solution will require more research—and more money. The team will be submitting a proposal for another four-year grant from the U.S.D.A., tweaking its language to suit the Administration’s focus on economic-loss prevention rather than climate change. “I won’t have something for you tomorrow, but we will be able to take care of this problem,” Tomasino said. “With all the research that’s going on, in three to five years a smoke event will happen and we’ll know exactly what to do.”

Part of that statement is definitely true: a smoke event will happen. Researchers have calculated that by 2050 the current rate of warming will lead to seventy thousand Americans dying annually because of smoke exposure. “Lives lost are a tragedy; smoke-tainted grapes are a challenge,” Leske reminded me. Indeed, smoke-tainted grapes are just one of many challenges facing the wine industry right now, as rising temperatures also increase pest and disease pressures; heighten the likelihood of drought, hail, and flooding; and threaten to ripen fruit so quickly that harvest becomes compressed to the point of logistical impossibility. Smoke is a mere facet of this new normal—it is, arguably, now part of a wine’s “aeroir.”

Within the industry, this perspective has been slow to gain acceptance. But, sometime in the fall of 2020, Cyler Varnum, a vintner who’d purchased grapes from Mike Zolnikov, in Oregon, had a breakthrough. When people visited Varnum’s tasting room, in the Willamette Valley, they often asked how that year’s vintage had fared, given the wildfires. Varnum decided to take them back to a barrel and pull a sample so they could see for themselves. Some made a face and spat it out; others could taste the smoke but found it curious rather than repulsive; still others loved it. “That was the realization: we don’t dictate people’s tastes,” he told me, as we sat in his tasting room. “I shouldn’t be trying to tell people that it’s a flaw. I’d rather be, like, ‘This was 2020: you might like it, you might not.’ ”

After all, he pointed out, that’s true of any vintage: hot summers make wine taste one way, cold snaps another; some people like their Zinfandel aged in bourbon barrels or their Pinot Grigio diluted with ice. In the past few years, natural-wine aficionados have embraced the funky barnyard notes imparted by Brettanomyces yeast, which have traditionally been regarded as a flaw. And a floral, almost roselike aroma, considered characteristic of wines from cooler regions, was recently discovered to be caused by the inclusion of dead leaves in the ferment. Scientists have dubbed it “frost taint.”

Varnum, in his tasting room, shared what little remained of his 2020 stock, starting with a traditional sparkling blanc de blanc he’d bottled under the moniker Toast, made entirely from Zolnikov’s Chardonnay grapes and fermented in neutral oak. “It’s interesting, because when you think about champagne, you want toasted-brioche, crème-brûlée notes—that’s actually a quality you’re looking for,” he explained. On first sniff, I was not optimistic: the nose, as Varnum delicately put it, was “more on the burnt side of toast.” But the taste was much more nuanced: light, clean, and bright, with a browned-piecrust quality that never built into the bitter charred note I’d learned to anticipate. Earlier that year, Varnum’s partner, Taralyn, told me, they’d had a bonfire and brought out the glasses. “I think I drank almost a whole bottle,” she said. “Around a campfire, it’s delicious.” ♦

How Consent Can—and Cannot—Help Us Have Better Sex

2026-01-05 20:06:02

2026-01-05T11:00:00.000Z

In 1978, Greta Hibbard was twenty-two and living in rural Oregon. She had a two-year-old daughter, a minimum-wage job, and an unemployed husband. She was, she would later say, “living on peanut butter sandwiches.” She and her husband, John Rideout, often fought; sometimes he hit her or demanded sex. On the afternoon of October 10th, when he did just that, Hibbard fled to a neighbor’s house. Rideout followed her, cornered her in a park, and took her home. Once inside, she said, he punched her several times in the face and pulled down her pants. Their toddler, who was watching, went into her bedroom and wailed as her father penetrated her mother.

That this might be rape, legally speaking, was a brand-new idea. Until the mid-seventies, much of the sex in the United States was regulated not by the theory of consent but by that of property: a husband could no more be arrested for raping his wife than for breaking into his own house. In 1977, Oregon became one of the first states to make spousal rape illegal, and even then some politicians thought the law should apply only to couples living apart or in the process of divorcing. A California state senator summed up the prevailing attitude: “If you can’t rape your wife, who can you rape?”

Hibbard herself had only just learned that she had a right to decline sex with her husband. (At a woman’s crisis center, she had noticed a sign on the wall that read “If she says no, it’s rape.”) The night before the incident, she and Rideout were chatting with a neighbor when she brought up the new law. “I don’t believe it,” Rideout said. When he was arrested a few days later, he still didn’t. What followed was Oregon v. Rideout, the first time in the United States that a man stood trial for the rape of a wife with whom he lived, and a formative test of the notion that consent should determine the legality of sex.

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Sarah Weinman retells this story in “Without Consent: A Landmark Trial and the Decades-Long Struggle to Make Spousal Rape a Crime” (Ecco). Weinman is known for taking a true-crime approach to intellectual history: her previous books center on the murderer who befriended William F. Buckley, Jr.—the founder of the National Review—and on the kidnapping that is believed to have inspired Vladimir Nabokov to write “Lolita.” Her writing is breezy even when the subject matter is not exactly beachy. Rideout’s trial, for example, teemed with outrages. His defense lawyer smeared Hibbard for her sexual past: two abortions, a supposed lesbian experience, and a previous assault allegation against Rideout’s half brother, which, according to Weinman, Hibbard retracted after threats from the accused. Meanwhile, even the prosecutor thought Rideout seemed like a good guy. “I don’t think he belongs in prison or jail,” he told the press. When Rideout was acquitted, the courtroom burst into applause.

Hibbard, who reconciled with Rideout almost immediately after the trial, would divorce him within months. But Weinman follows Rideout all the way through 2017, when he was once again tried for rape. This time, the victims were Sheila Moxley, an acquaintance who had grudgingly allowed a drunk Rideout to sleep on her sofa after he came over to help her fix some furniture, and Teresa Hern, a long-term, on-and-off girlfriend. Both women had been held down and penetrated by Rideout in the middle of the night. Once again, a defense lawyer attempted to paint the women as lying, scheming seductresses. But this time Rideout was convicted on all counts and eventually sentenced to twenty-five years in prison. “You are a bad man,” Moxley read in a statement. “You are an evil man. You are a monster.”

Weinman’s choice to begin and end with Rideout’s trials allows her to tell a story of comeuppance, in which, during the span of one man’s life, society decided to take rape seriously and punish the monsters who commit it. This is a happy thought. But the real arc of history is not so short, nor does it bend with anything like certainty toward justice. Today, about one in ten American women have been raped by their intimate partners—roughly the same rate reported in the eighties. This year, the Trump Administration removed the Center for Disease Control’s online statistics on intimate-partner and sexual violence; the page was restored by a court order, and now contains a disclaimer: “This page does not reflect reality.” Donald Trump himself has been accused of sexual misconduct by at least twenty-four women. He has denied these accusations, including one from his first wife, Ivana, who testified under oath that he threw her on the bed, ripped out a handful of her hair, and then forced himself on her. She later clarified that she didn’t mean the word “rape” in the “literal or criminal sense.”

In Weinman’s epilogue, she briefly points to the unfinished business of ending rape, spousal or otherwise. But her book assumes that society has at least sorted out the philosophical underpinnings of how to regulate sex. “Younger generations were far clearer about these issues,” Weinman writes, “understanding that consent must be given ‘freely and intelligently’ by those who were capable, and anything shy of full consent was considered rape.” There is, I think, no such clarity. It is not just people like Trump, Jeffrey Epstein, Pete Hegseth, Brock Turner, Bill Cosby, Sean Combs, Dominique Pelicot, and their many, many friends who seem to have a bone to pick with consent. Feminists have their own quibbles. What does “freely and intelligently” mean, they ask, and what entails “full consent”? Who exactly is capable of consenting? And what are we to do with rapists?

For some second-wave feminists, the very idea that a woman living under patriarchy could “consent” to sex with a man was absurd. After all, we don’t think of a serf consenting to work for her feudal overlord: the serf might well enjoy tilling the fields, she might even love her master, but she didn’t choose farm labor so much as she was kept, by rigid and often violent social limits, from pursuing anything else. And even if the choice were free—even if decades of hard-fought feminist struggle had occasioned the sort of emancipation that meant women were no longer analogous to serfs—could such a choice ever be “intelligent”? Some women find knitting pleasurable, comforting, and affirming of their femininity, but how many would recommend it to a friend if it carried a ten-per-cent chance of rape?

These were lively arguments in the seventies and eighties, advanced by feminists like Catharine MacKinnon and Andrea Dworkin, who had herself been battered by her husband. Today, the basic idea—often glossed as “all heterosexual sex is rape,” though neither MacKinnon nor Dworkin wrote exactly those words—seems almost farcical. Radical feminists no longer blame heterosexual women for “sleeping with the enemy.” It’s widely accepted that a woman really can consent to sex with a husband on whom she is financially dependent. The immediate though rather less accepted corollary is that she can also consent to sex with a paying stranger. To say anything else, many feminists now argue, would be to infantilize her, to subordinate her—to the state, to moralism—rather than acknowledge her mastery of her own body.

But the root of the second-wave critique, that there are power differentials across which professed consent is insufficient, lives on in other debates. Children, a class whom the poet Mary Karr once described as “three feet tall, flat broke, unemployed, and illiterate,” are an obvious example. It is easy to be horrified by situations where children are subjected to sex that is forced or coerced. But what about sex that they claim to want? Can children consent to sex with other children? With adults? Can a nineteen-year-old girl legally have what she believes to be loving, consensual sex with her stepfather? What about with her stepmother? Can students choose to have sex with their professors, or employees with their bosses? How we answer these questions depends on whom we consider to be so gullible, vulnerable, or exploited that they must be protected from their own expressed desires.

Generally, we are more willing to limit people’s autonomy in the short term. Youth is the most temporary of conditions: the kid whom we protect from certain kinds of sex grows up to be an adult from whom children must be protected. But some people, legally speaking, never leave the condition of childhood. In 2018, a former ethics professor at Rutgers named Anna Stubblefield pleaded guilty to aggravated criminal sexual contact with a man with cerebral palsy called D.J., who was nonverbal and under the guardianship of his mother and brother. The case fascinated other ethics professors because it seemed to literalize the debate over coerced consent. Stubblefield had worked with D.J. on a technique known as facilitated communication, in which an able-bodied person supports the arm of a nonverbal disabled person to allow him to type. Were D.J.’s typed expressions of joy at their sexual relationship—“I feel alive for the first time in my life”—really his own? Can someone like D.J. ever consent to sex? And, if not, are his only options to be forever celibate or to be raped?

For liberals, another difficult question is whether some sexual acts are off limits even to adults who are not part of a skewed power dynamic. The unavoidable case study here is from 2001: two German men met online and agreed to cut off the first guy’s penis and eat it together. As the amputee bled out, he was filmed expressing his continual and clear agreement to being killed and dismembered. Perhaps, some philosophers suggest, we should not be able to forfeit future consent, either by agreeing to serious bodily injury or death or by entering into a contract that strips us of long-term agency. But, if football players can consent to beat each other up on the field, why can’t we beat each other up in bed? If we want to forbid people from subjugating themselves in the pursuit of their fantasies, we’d have to criminalize both extreme forms of B.D.S.M. relationships and marriage vows that contain the word “serve.”

One critique of consent, then, is that it is too permissive—that it ignores how coercion or delusion may result in the illusion of agreement. But another critique is that it’s too restrictive and punitive. Decades of reform laws have expanded the number of situations legally considered to be rape: it’s no longer a charge that can be brought only against an armed stranger who attacks a struggling victim, ideally a white virgin. On university campuses, the idea that “no means no” has given way—because of the well-documented fact that many people freeze and are unable to speak in moments of fear—to “yes means yes.”

Woman talking on phone at home.
“If it’s too late to chat, I can call a friend in the next time zone.”
Cartoon by Amy Hwang

Critics of this shift worry about encounters where both parties are blackout drunk, or where one appears to retroactively withdraw consent. They argue that a lower bar for rape leads to the criminalization—or at least the litigation—of misunderstandings, and so discourages the sort of carefree sexual experimentation that some feminists very much hope to champion. “I can think of no better way to subjugate women than to convince us that assault is around every corner,” the self-identified feminist Laura Kipnis writes in “Unwanted Advances,” a 2017 book about “sexual paranoia on campus.” Kipnis describes her own mother laughingly recalling a college professor chasing her around a desk and trying to kiss her. That young women today are encouraged to think of this kind of “idiocy” as an “incapacitating trauma,” Kipnis argues, codifies sexist ideas about their innocence, purity, and helplessness. Another interpretation is that young women have decided, with a rather masculine sense of their own entitlement, that they need not smile indulgently upon their transgressors. But Kipnis is right in her broader point: the bureaucratization of our erotic lives is no path to liberation.

Kipnis’s book came out six months before reporters at this magazine and the Times published more than a dozen allegations against Harvey Weinstein, setting off the mainstream #MeToo movement. The subsequent wave of disclosures made clear just how common sexual violence is, and just how much victims continue to lose by coming forward. In a review of Christine Blasey Ford’s memoir, for example, the writer Moira Donegan suggests that the defining moment of Blasey Ford’s life was not the time when, as she describes it, she was pushed onto a bed and a seventeen-year-old-boy straddled her, tried to rip off her clothing, and covered her screaming mouth while his friend laughed. It was when society—or at least Congress—decided that she was a liar and that the boy who held her down should be a Supreme Court Justice.

The backlash to Title IX and the #MeToo movement can make it seem like the primary effect of such activism on men is to strip them, often temporarily, of their swimming scholarships and book deals and political clout. (Andrew Cuomo’s failed mayoral campaign was premised on the idea that voters could forget that the Department of Justice found he had sexually harassed thirteen women, and had retaliated against some who came forward.) But rape is also a criminal offense, and people, often poor, nonwhite men, can spend decades in jail for it, sometimes wrongly: think of the Central Park Five. The sentencing disparities for certain crimes are shocking; roughly four out of every five people who are convicted of statutory rape are Native American.

On the one hand, it’s very hard to argue that crimes like rape are too aggressively investigated, or that victims are too deferentially believed. In Chicago, for example, between 2018 and 2023, police received more than twenty thousand reports of sex crimes, for which only around three hundred people went to jail. On the other hand, anyone horrified by rape should be very worried about putting even a single additional person in prison, where sexual violence, often at the hands of guards, is extremely prevalent. Men and women in state and federal prisons report being coerced or forced into sex at almost the same rates. This is not to say that rape can be separated from the hatred of women, just that, in certain situations, the role of the victim can be violently reassigned. As feminists have long argued, rape may incidentally be about sex. But it is always about power.

If the debates of the past decade have made one thing clear, it is that consent alone cannot save us. We continue to have terrible judgment, flawed communication, a fondness for incapacitating agents, and a violently eroticized contempt for the feminine. And yet where can we turn for regulation? It is very hard to let a moralizing government into the bedroom without giving up treasured and hard-fought freedoms like birth control or gay or kinky sex. University administrators, it is now impossible to ignore, are mostly lawsuit-avoiding machines. Hashtags are fleeting; the worst people continue to see themselves as the real victims, and to rule the country. Prisons have no moral authority when it comes to rape.

Into this impasse come a slew of recent books: Joseph Fischel’s “Screw Consent: A Better Politics of Sexual Justice,” Katherine Angel’s “Tomorrow Sex Will Be Good Again: Women and Desire in the Age of Consent,” Manon Garcia’s “The Joy of Consent: A Philosophy of Good Sex.” These books are not primarily critiques of our legal system: they generally agree that consent is, as Fischel puts it, “the least-bad standard available for sexual assault law.” But they worry that a cultural emphasis on consent—and especially “enthusiastic consent”—has divided “sex into the categories awesome and rape” (Fischel), ignored the complexity of female desire (Angel), and reinforced the notion of sex as something that women give to men, rather than something that equal people can enjoy together (Garcia).

The latest and most vigorous addition to this genre is “Sex Beyond ‘Yes’: Pleasure and Agency for Everyone” (Norton), by Quill Kukla, a professor of philosophy and disability studies at Georgetown University. Part manual, part manifesto, “Sex Beyond ‘Yes’ ” has plenty of can-do ideas about how we might turn consensual sex into “good sex”—how we might learn not only to accept and reject but also to invite, warn, ask, and order. Kukla, who is nonbinary, and who has both an academic and a personal interest in kink, sometimes writes with a certain condescension toward vanilla heterosexual couples, who having “never been forced to think reflectively about their sexual practices and desires may not have had the chance to develop these skills.” But their book touches on topics that will interest a wide audience: how to ethically have sex with a partner with dementia, for example, or the liberatory possibility of teaching children how to define physical boundaries using safe words.

Kukla complains that we talk too little about how to have good sex, and too much about how to avoid bad sex. They are sharp on the counterproductiveness of initiatives like Take Back the Night, which, by suggesting that women are at high risk from strangers on the street, can heighten their dependence on partners and acquaintances, who commit more than ninety per cent of rapes. They argue that the mainstream (and sometimes feminist) idea that male bodies are gross and threatening is actually a form of rape culture, because it upholds the idea of sex as something men must extract from women. One could close Kukla’s book with the sense that rapists are simply people who have not yet had the chance to develop the “complicated skills” of good sex. This is not as Pollyannaish as it sounds—a D.O.J. report from 2000 found that the most common age of sexual-assault offenders was fourteen. And anyone who wants to advocate for better sex must take as a first principle that boys and men are capable of change.

As sex education goes, “Sex Beyond ‘Yes’ ” is lucid and straightforward; in a better world, it would be taught in high schools. But sex education, as Kukla admits, is not everything: “The best communicators in the world cannot have strong sexual agency in a country with maximally restrictive and punitive sexual norms or laws, or when trapped in a brightly lit room in an institution, such as a prison or hospital, that offers no privacy.” Sexual “agency,” Kukla’s preferred term, differs from sexual consent in much the same way that a walkable neighborhood differs from a gated community. If consent is our right to briefly release other people from their obligation not to touch us, agency is our right to live under conditions where we can freely pursue our desires. Kukla calls such conditions the “scaffolding” of good sex.

A sorority sister, for example, has better scaffolding if she has a place to dance and get drunk and kiss strangers that is not a house operated entirely by men who have sworn loyalty oaths to each other, and who themselves are no strangers to sexual hazing. A foster child has better scaffolding if he has a bedroom of his own, with a door that locks. Birth control and PREP can be scaffolds for better sex, as can financial independence. Kukla mentions “twenty-four-hour public transportation,” which allows people to “be confident that they can leave safely and easily whenever they choose to.” When I read this, I thought of John Rideout’s assault on Sheila Moxley, after he had drunk too much to bike himself home. Had there been a bus stop outside, could Moxley have more confidently turned out Rideout, locked the doors, and slept peacefully through the night?

There is something unsatisfying—almost victim-blaming—about my question. Rideout, after all, did not rape Moxley because he didn’t want to pay for a cab; he raped her because he didn’t see her as a full human being. Kukla, who is surely aware of such cases, nevertheless avoids a gendered analysis of sex in order to focus on the material realities that abet bad sex. Scaffolding, ultimately, is less like reparations and more like universal basic income.

In any case, money’s money, and we can wonder how Greta Hibbard’s life might have gone differently had she been cut a slightly larger sexual-agency check. Pregnant at nineteen, she at first turned down Rideout’s marriage proposal because she thought he was “irresponsible.” After several months of trying to raise the baby alone on welfare, she reconsidered, and accepted Rideout, who had since joined the Army. Even after Hibbard told her parents that Rideout had begun to kick and punch her, her father told her that she had a duty to stay in the marriage, and her mother refused to help pay for a divorce. Hibbard may or may not have been surrounded by monsters. But she was certainly living inside a monstrous architecture. ♦



Harry Bliss’s “Wintry Mix”

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For the cover of the January 12, 2026, issue, the cartoonist Harry Bliss used color and composition to contrast the warmth inside with the blistering cold outside. “While in art school, living off of ramen noodles, I’d peek into the windows of gorgeous old brownstones, imagining I lived there instead of in my freezing, roach-infested studio apartment,” Bliss said.

For more covers about cats, see below:

A cat looks in the back of the number 5 which is a cabinet full of fruit.

July 18, 1970,” by Saul Steinberg

Cat sleeping by the window with city view.

Luxurious, Quiet, and Cozy,” by J. J. Sempé

A Bodega cat sleeps on a counter.

Bodega Cat,” by R. Kikuo Johnson

Find Harry Bliss’s covers, cartoons, and more at the Condé Nast Store.

Book Recommendations for Men

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A new study . . . depicted record lows for Americans who are reading for fun, showing a “significant” decline of 40 percent in the past two decades. . . .Women were also more likely to read for pleasure than men.

The Daily Beast.

Illustrated book covers

Briefly Noted

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A cover of a book

Heiresses, by Miranda Kaufmann (Pegasus). Nine British women—including a Cabinet minister’s wife and Jane Austen’s Barbados-born aunt—who derived their fortunes through Caribbean slavery are the subjects of this rich history. Kaufmann maps the global journeys these women undertook as they sought to solidify their social positions. Some moved to England in order to receive an education or marry into the aristocracy; others journeyed to India, Macau, or Rome. Kaufmann pays close attention to the business acumen that they and their families brought to enterprises like sugar plantations and the transatlantic slave trade. Such a lens shows that the mobility of these women depended on the labor of those who were unfree.

Cover of a book

I Deliver Parcels in Beijing, by Hu Anyan, translated from the Chinese by Jack Hargreaves (Astra). This fascinating début memoir recounts its author’s career on the lower rungs of China’s consumer economy. Hu first worked during high school as a hotel waiter; later, he became a courier, a gas-station attendant, and a security guard, among fifteen other jobs. As Hu piled drudgery upon drudgery, he gathered a rich store of insight into the alienation and petty cruelties of working life. He also began to write. During the COVID pandemic, one of his essays, about his time on the night shift at a warehouse, took off online in China. His account reveals an author searching for his true self and finding it, amid unceasing toil, in the act of observation.

What We’re Reading

An illustrated GIF of three figures reading while walking.
Illustration by Ben Hickey

Discover notable new fiction, nonfiction, and poetry.

A book cover

A Danger to the Minds of Young Girls, by Adam Morgan (Atria). At the heart of this lively history is the editor Margaret C. Anderson, a radical lesbian who is perhaps best known for publishing, in a literary magazine she edited, James Joyce’s “Ulysses” in serial form. In 1921, Anderson was prosecuted by the U.S. government—the novel was thought “obscene”—and though Morgan focusses much of his attention on her trial, he also takes in her childhood, in Indianapolis; her years in Chicago, New York, and Paris; and her association with prominent figures of her time, such as Ezra Pound, T. S. Eliot, and the anarchist Emma Goldman. What becomes clear in his study is that, in the end, Anderson’s will to forge a new path was matched only by her disappointment in where it led.

Cover of a book

Estate, by Cynthia Zarin (Farrar, Straus & Giroux). The text of this slim, compressed novel is a letter written by Caroline—a New Yorker who will be familiar to readers of Zarin’s 2024 novel “Inverno”—to her paramour, a man who is also seeing two other women. A wry spin on an infatuated lover’s monologue, Caroline’s letter is a skein of free-associative thoughts—about her children, about the husband from whom she’s separated, about whatever springs to mind. It’s all in elliptical, finespun service to Caroline’s ambition: to understand “how I had become the person who might write such a letter, and behave in such a way, behavior of which I deeply disapproved.”

Kathryn Bigelow, Catastrophe Connoisseur

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Kathryn Bigelow, the director, and Alexandra Bell, the arms-control expert, are both nuclear-attack-submarine literate. Bigelow—whose new Netflix film, “A House of Dynamite,” imagines the U.S. government’s response to an incoming intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) eighteen minutes from impact—shot part of her 2002 submarine film, entitled “K-19: The Widowmaker,” on a decommissioned Soviet sub from the nineteen-sixties. Her team had found it drydocked in Florida, then had it towed to Nova Scotia. “When we were shooting in the submarine, we had to wear helmets and shoulder pads because you were hitting everything,” she said the other day. “It was painful.”

Bell, who is the new president of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, has visited active nuclear-missile submarines—“boomers,” in Navy slang—as part of her work on arms control. “I’ve been on the U.S.S. West Virginia twice, and the U.S.S. Maryland as well, working as the State Department rep on the Biden Administration’s Nuclear Posture Review,” she said. She’s toured with Japanese and South Korean officials, making her expert at, she says, “getting photographed in front of military equipment.” She added, “I have a good looking-at-things face.”

Bigelow and Bell had met up in the entrance hall of the Intrepid Museum, and were about to explore the U.S.S. Growler, the Cold War-era vessel, docked on Pier 86, that is the only known American nuclear-attack sub open to the public. It was a first for both women. In the exhibit that precedes the sub tour, Bigelow, who is in her seventies and wore a down jacket, pointed to an old wooden school desk.

“That was my inspiration!” she said. “A House of Dynamite” grew out of her curiosity for the threat that had once had her and her Bay Area schoolmates ducking and covering.

“For all the good that would have done!” Bell said.

“Maybe the desk was made of Teflon,” Bigelow joked.

“There’ve been articles lately about how the diminution of civil defense as a conversation point in American society is one of the reasons that people don’t feel the threat,” Bell said. The Bulletin’s Doomsday Clock was launched in 1947, in Chicago, to illustrate the world’s proximity to global catastrophe. It is currently set at eighty-nine seconds to midnight, and Bell has invited Bigelow to D.C. to see it get reset in late January, days before the nation’s last major nuclear-arms-control agreement with Russia will expire.

Bell, who wore a blazer with a Doomsday Clock pin attached, hadn’t yet been born when Bigelow moved to New York from San Francisco, with dreams of being an artist. Bigelow paid her rent by renovating apartments with Philip Glass. “He would do the plumbing, and I would do the Sheetrock,” she said.

“I was too young to have duck and cover,” Bell said. “But there were still conversations about ending nuclear testing.” She remembered becoming attuned to politics when she was nine: “It was the Exxon Valdez oil spill. I was so pissed. My parents had no idea what to do with that righteous anger. So they’re, like, ‘You should write to the President.’ So I did, complaining about the oil spill, but I also chastised him about nuclear threats.”

The pair moved through the exhibitions that described the Growler’s mission. Before the Navy developed submarine-launchable nukes, such warheads were attached to cruise missiles; the Growler patrolled the Kamchatka Peninsula, its crew knowing that, if they surfaced to fire, the sub would likely be destroyed.

Although the Pentagon has reportedly questioned the over-all accuracy of “A House of Dynamite,” Bell praised its verisimilitude, citing its depiction of Fort Greely, an Alaska base tasked with intercepting ICBMs. “I know the Fort Greely scenes were shot in Iceland,” she said, “but I was, like, ‘How did they get into Fort Greely?’ ” Ditto STRATCOM—short for U.S. Strategic Command—which is based in Nebraska.

“We were there,” Bigelow said, of STRATCOM.“And the ‘Big Board’ sign at the bottom of the screen—that was there.” She was referring to the actual threat-monitoring display board at the command center, which references the moment in “Dr. Strangelove” when a U.S. general protests a Russian ambassador’s visit to the war room: “He’ll see everything! He’ll see the big board!”

“The odd thing about this field is how much you’ve got to insert humor,” Bell said. “Even though I think most people might think it’s macabre.”

Bigelow and Bell entered the sub, starting their tour in the empty missile shed. It reminded Bigelow of the day, in 2001, when the Russians had allowed her to visit the K-19 sub, situated just outside the port city of Murmansk. The vessel had patrolled during the same years as the Growler but, in 1961, suffered a reactor incident that radiated its crew. Bigelow recalled,“I could only stand on the hull.”

Bell moved through the forward hatches, past cramped bunks and a copy of James A. Michener’s “Hawaii,” on a shelf. In the control room, a guide explained the difference between megatons and kilotons—she was reading from “Nuclear War: A Scenario.” “To me, every moment that we have until metaphorical midnight is room for hope,” Bell said. “And that’s the message I’m really trying to get out about the Doomsday Clock. It’s not just to scare people. It’s a call to action.” ♦