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A collection of written works, thoughts, and analysis by M.G. Siegler, a long-time technology investor and writer.
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Apple's Next Big Thing: the iPhone

2026-02-20 01:27:04

Apple's Next Big Thing: the iPhone

Folks, strap yourselves in and get ready for a wild ride – or at least, a narrative violation: what if Apple is actually ahead in AI?..

Little? Yellow? Different?

2026-02-19 00:47:52

Little? Yellow? Different?

With media invites now out there, it sure looks like all systems are go for the long-rumored return of Apple's MacBook. Not the Air. Not the Pro. The first of its name. And a name Apple hasn't used since they killed off the last iteration in 2019. But a lot has changed since then. Most notably, Apple Silicon. Whereas the last MacBooks were either underpowered or overheating – or both – machines due to Intel's incompetence back then, we now live in an world without such concerns.1 As such, it's undoubtedly time to bring the brand back.

At the same time, the MacBook Air has basically become the MacBook. With the move away from the "tear drop" iconic design a few years back (just after the first M1 Airs), there's nothing decidedly Air about these machines. Sure, they're thin and light compared to the MacBook Pros, but certainly they could be thinner and lighter still with our new technologies. But Apple basically chose to stick with the name for marketing purposes. It works. Why mess with what works?

And so it sure seems like the new MacBook – if Apple does indeed decide to call it that2 – will go in a slightly different direction. It may end up the thinnest and lightest Mac, but that won't be the core selling point as it was with the last MacBook (and the original MacBook Airs). This one will be all about affordability. And yes. Colors.

This too has been rumored for months – and many of us have been clamoring for a return to the "fun" root of Apple's machines for far longer than that – but Mark Gurman has now seemingly confirmed one of the key selling points for Bloomberg:

Apple will market the machine to students and enterprise users and offer it in playful colors, going beyond the muted tones of the MacBook Air and MacBook Pro. Over the past year, Apple has tested options such as light yellow, light green, blue, pink, classic silver and dark gray — though it’s unlikely all of these will ship. I expect the MacBook to launch as early as March, with Apple preparing for an event that month.

Such colors, of course, are echoed in the invites to Apple's special "experience" in early March. And after years of decidedly drab designs, at least from a color-perspective (iMacs and a few iPads aside), color seems to be gathering momentum within Apple once again, thanks in no small part to the orange – sorry, "Cosmic Orange" – iPhone, which is said to be driving a lot of Pro model sales. Might yellow, green, and pink do the same for the MacBook lineup?3

Regardless, the key selling point here will clearly be the price. Since the rumors started, my guess has firmly been in the $799 range. Certainly not the cheapest laptops on the market by any stretch, but a solid $200 below the MacBook Air entry point (student discounts aside). The more interesting question is what it means for the M1 variety of the MacBook Air that Apple has been selling with Walmart at $699 – or often lower, with deals. Presumably, the time for that machine is over, unless they update it with a newer 'M' variant? M2? M3?!

But that also would be a strange move given that these new would-be MacBooks are said to be using iPhone-class Apple Silicon – aka an A-series chip. That plus a new production process is all about keeping costs down. And presumably that will mean less RAM as well – the hottest topic in the industry right now.

All of that likely adds up to machines which are fully tailored for the budget-oriented shopper – which notably could include schools, in bulk. An area which Apple has oddly ceded in the past many years to Chromebooks and yes, Microsoft. iPads were good in classrooms for some things but as Apple more than anyone likes to remind us, iPads are not MacBooks! They're not laptops. They're different, even as they increasingly look and act the same. And even in 2026, students still need laptops.

Still, beyond the colors, I personally remain intrigued by this element of the machines:

The machine will feature other compromises — compared with the MacBook Air or MacBook Pro — including a slightly smaller display that’s just under 13 inches. But in one area, Apple isn’t cutting corners: build quality.

This goes back to the last MacBook, which had a 12" screen. I loved that form-factor and would be tempted by something slightly smaller than the current 13" MacBook Air. But probably only if it had incredible battery life and could be upgraded from what will undoubtedly be 8GB of RAM as the base.

Give me a 2lb (actually) yellow MacBook with 16GB of RAM and I might be very intrigued... Otherwise, it will be a great (and fun) machine for many, I assume.

Little? Yellow? Different?
👇
Previously, on Spyglass...
Return of the MacBook?
A colorful, cheaper Apple laptop has been a dream, but reality is often more drab…
Little? Yellow? Different?
Where is the Colorful MacBook?
I’m not the least bit ashamed to admit that I hate April Fools Day. First, I’m someone who values high quality information above all else.1 Second, it’s stupid. Yes, I’m a grinch or whatever. I just don’t find any of the jokes – especially the jokes by tech companies – funny.
Little? Yellow? Different?
How Low Will Apple Go?
With regard to the price of a lower-cost MacBook…
Little? Yellow? Different?

1 An Apple world without Intel, at least for now...

2 I mean, would they ever dare go back to "iBook"? I assume not given that the 'i' prefix seems to have run its course post-iPad. Then again, we still have iMacs... What about another 'MacBook' variant?

3 Obviously, there is already a blue MacBook Air – I'm typing on it right now! – as well as silver and "gray" (or whatever name Apple chooses for the darker variety these days). I am curious if "yellow" and "pink" end up being far different than the previous "gold" and "rose gold" color configurations...

Netflix Calls Paramount's Bluff

2026-02-18 02:36:41

Netflix Blasts ‘Ongoing Distraction’ From Paramount as Warner Bros. Asks for David Ellison’s ‘Best and Final’ Offer
The streamer said that its $83 billion deal is “the only certain path to delivering value to WBD’s stockholders”.

The most obvious reference would be to The Godfather. So much so that I almost can't believe neither Netflix nor Warner Bros made it in their comments around the re-opening of discussions with Paramount. There are just so many to choose from! Even beyond any number of Corleone family quotes, there's the whole horses-head-in-the-bed bit. And so many others which are especially top of mind right now with the passing of Robert Duvall. Yes, yes, an activist, Ancora Holdings, already sort of played that hand. But come on. I mean, Paramount now literally has to make an offer that WBD cannot refuse!

Still, for some reason my mind is drawn towards another Paramount release: Willy Wonka & the Chocolate Factory. At the end of that film – 55 year spoiler alert – Wonka's demeanor suddenly switches from one of seeming disinterest in Charlie and Grandpa Joe as they're leaving, to one of anger. As Grandpa Joe pushes for the free chocolate Charlie was supposed to receive, Wonka points out the contract they signed. "It's all there, black and white, clear as crystal! You stole fizzy lifting drinks! You bumped into the ceiling which now has to be washed and sterilized, so you get nothing! You lose! Good day, sir!"

As Paramount has relentlessly pushed from all angles to suggest that they actually should have been the winners of the Warner Bros sweepstakes, Netflix has just sort of kept going. Making the case to Washington (and Hollywood) about the deal, but largely ignoring the "loser". Until today.

“Throughout the robust and highly competitive strategic review process, Netflix has consistently taken a constructive, responsive approach with WBD, in stark contrast to Paramount Skydance (PSKY),” Netflix said in a statement. “While we are confident that our transaction provides superior value and certainty, we recognize the ongoing distraction for WBD stockholders and the broader entertainment industry caused by PSKY’s antics.”

"Distraction" and "antics" are just the start.

“Accordingly, we granted WBD a narrow seven-day waiver of certain obligations under our merger agreement to allow them to engage with PSKY to fully and finally resolve this matter,” the streamer continued. “This does not change the fact that we have the only signed, board-recommended agreement with WBD, and ours is the only certain path to delivering value to WBD’s stockholders.”

This is Wonka getting out the magnifying glass to read the fine print...

Netflix reiterated that its deal with Warner Bros. would “deliver more choice and greater value to audiences worldwide with expanded access to exceptional films and series – both at home and in theaters.”

It also said the deal “is centered on growth, opportunity, and a reinforced commitment to creating world-class films and television – not consolidation and layoffs” and would expand production capacity, increase its investment in original content and create jobs.

In other words, this is Netflix calling Paramount's bluff. First and foremost, the fact that they keep floating the notion of raising their bid, without actually doing so. But also, the notion that they keep trying to spin a narrative that their deal, even without the price change, is better. Netflix has a pretty clear counter argument to that. It's a bit more than one word, but to boil it down: bullshit.

At the same time, Netflix blasted Paramount, arguing it has “repeatedly mischaracterized the regulatory review process by suggesting its proposal will sail through, misleading WBD stockholders about the real risk of their regulatory challenges around the world.” For example, the company noted that it received clearance from foreign investment authorities in Germany on Jan. 27 — the same day as Paramount.

It also said that the foreign funding backing Paramount-Skydance’s bid is “already raising serious national security concerns” and that it expects the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS), Team Telecom in the U.S. and European authorities to scrutinize Paramount’s backing from Middle Eastern investors.

“In reality, PSKY is far from obtaining all of the regulatory clearances required,” the company said. “Enforcers will focus on the impact of PSKY’s proposal on competition, job losses, reduced output, and downward pressure on wages for film and television workers.”

Netflix also warned that the Paramount offer would create “significant horizontal overlaps” that will concern antitrust enforcers, including combining two of the five major Hollywood studios, two major theatrical distribution channels, two of the major TV studios, two major news networks and two major sports distributors.

Again, this reads like Wonka unloading on poor Grandpa Joe! And it keeps going:

Additionally, the streamer argued that Ellison’s “aggressive financing package, rapid deleveraging plans, and performance track record pose tremendous risks to both the completion of their proposed deal and the industry” and that Paramount would be over-leveraged with approximately $84 billion in debt and a roughly 7 times leverage ratio.

In order to hit the midpoint of its deleveraging targets, Netflix said it would need to realize roughly $16 billion of cost savings — far in excess of its previously disclosed $6 billion synergy figure — through “greater, even deeper job cuts that would irreparably harm the entertainment industry.” It added that Paramount is undershooting its guidance for 2026 adjusted operating income by 15%, which could mean even more cost cuts.

“This extraordinary execution risk and track record of operational underperformance could impact PSKY’s ability to fund and close a transaction,” the company concluded. “A business plan that is dependent upon $16 billion in cost savings should be an unmistakable red flag for regulators, policymakers, union leaders and creatives.”

In other words, Netflix to Paramount: put up (more money) or shut up. Netflix to WBD shareholders: even if they happen to put up a couple more bucks per share, you'd be crazy to go with their offer. We're so confident in this, that we're giving them a week to come back with something. After that, no more bullshit, let's get this deal done.

The problem for Netflix, of course, is that investors – at least those who own huge chunks of WBD shares – undoubtedly only care about the bottom-line here. If Paramount moves to $31 or $32 or $33/share, Netflix is likely going to have to counter with something beyond words – no matter how compelling those words may be! It's just math and investors are for the most part, stupid. They need the math to be done for them.

But, to a point sort of tangential to Netflix's own points, there might be a reason why Paramount hasn't yet raised their offer: because they're already insanely levered here. This would be a relatively small company buying a much larger one, versus the Netflix situation, which is the opposite. Both are using debt, of course. But only one needs a personal backstop from one of the richest men in the world – and the father of the CEO of the acquiring company – on that debt. It's, um, strange. And it doesn't really speak to an easy path forward here for the newly combined companies. Netflix and Warner Bros though? It may or may not be a success, but the path is far more straightforward.

Perhaps Paramount's play was to push this to the breaking point before raising their bid and trying to run away with the bag. Or maybe Netflix has one more trick up their sleeve as well. Either way, the next week will be fun! Will someone wake up with a horse head in the bed? Or are we about to go for a ride in the glass elevator? All options are back on the table thanks to a clearly pissed off Netflix, who got sick of WBD's meek attempts to tell Paramount to piss off.

👇
Previously, on Spyglass...
The Albanian Army Closes in on Warner Bros
In a stunning turn, Netflix enters pole position to take over Warner Bros and HBO…
Oh No, a Tech Company is Buying a Movie Studio
This is the end of Hollywood? Come on.
Paramount Skydance’s Blockbuster Bid for Warner Bros Discovery
One good idea, so many names…
Netflix’s Hard 45
With Ted Sarandos’ 45-day theatrical commit for movies, he’s aiming to win the box office, Hollywood, and the Warner Bros deal…
YouTube Hands the Best Acquisition Oscar to Netflix
With YouTube poaching The Academy Awards, it sure feels like Netflix is going to be allowed to buy Warner Bros now…

DeepSeek 2: The Movie

2026-02-17 03:17:34

DeepSeek 2: The Movie

As the world awaits the actual second DeepSeek situation, with the company's 'V4' model on the verge of launching seemingly any day now, we may have gotten a second such "watershed" moment from a different Chinese player: ByteDance. No, this isn't about TikTok – well, at least not directly – but clearly their new 'Seedance' video model is causing chaos. Certainly in Hollywood, but there are far larger tech ramifications as well.

Perhaps most interesting is that while 'Seedance 1.0' launched without much fanfare – only just about 8 months ago – it's this new 2.0 version which is exploding.1 And it's easy to see why, quite literally. With the shortest of prompts, the model can create scenes that look like they're from Hollywood movies. Often, at least amongst the ones being shared, because they are from Hollywood movies, but with elements tweaked a bit. Or a lot! The whole Brad Pitt vs. Tom Cruise martial arts fight is getting all the press at the moment. But just judging from my own social feeds, there are hundreds and undoubtedly thousands of such scenes.

And well, you have to sort of see them to believe them. I'm sure those actually in the industry look at them with some level of disdain – "come on, that type of punch would never be thrown" – but I'm also sure that many more in the industry are currently shitting their pants. Why? Because they won't shut up about it.

"I hate to say it. It’s likely over for us."

Rhett Reese, a writer of the Deadpool movies, wrote on Xitter.

This is yet another end-of-Hollywood moment, which sounds suspiciously like another reason for various unions to go on strike again soon, but I digress. It's a big deal. But also probably not as big of a deal as Hollywood would have you believe.

Yes, Mr. Pour Cold Water On It strikes again!

Look, first and foremost, there are obviously multiple levels of infringement going on here. I'm no lawyer, but I imagine you can't just take a scene from Attack of the Clones, enhance the dialog and anatomy and be okay. Sure, there are parody precedents and rights, but not of the actual footage? This becomes even more gray if you believe the models in question were trained on the footage in question, ingesting it alongside myriad other copyrighted work. Was Seedance trained on TikTok videos? ByteDance isn't saying, but surely it must be, at least in part? Maybe the model-makers never admit to this, or maybe it should be "fair use" to some degree, but come on.

That stuff is all fairly straightforward and should be sorted out relatively quickly. Lawsuits will do that. Disney. Paramount. Etc. ByteDance is already saying that they're complying with take-down requests. China may not be the US when it comes to such laws, but it's all just too blatant for it to be tenable. Just as it was with Sora, early on. OpenAI moved fast to lock things down and... the app clearly got far less popular and was far less viral as a result. Funny that.

And it points to a secondary issue here. People love this content when it features Hollywood talent they know and love. When it doesn't? It's going to be decidedly less viral. Honestly, it won't be viral at all. You can create stunning, amazing visual scenes with AI and maybe aside from some technical folks being impressed, the masses will not care. That's just reality.

Hollywood, for all its bullshit, works. It's a great marketing engine and flywheel for great talent. But without that talent...

Though that also points to the bigger issue and potential outcome here. What if that talent pool suddenly broadens – exponentially – thanks to the technology we're now seeing in Seedance?

Without question, these videos are technically impressive and do point to a world in which Hollywood itself can create such scenes on the cheap. Let's be clear: that's the real fear here. That Hollywood will start using such tech to cut out many currently needed in the film production chain. And it's a legitimate concern! Probably not this year or next, but eventually, costs have a way of trying to be cut. Especially when conglomerates control the means of production. This is the way, sadly.

Said another way: Hollywood shouldn't be concerned about a kid in their basement using AI to make a rogue version of Star Wars, they should be worried about Disney using AI to make a version of Star Wars without much of the headcount currently needed to make a Star Wars. This is the real disruption here.

And yet they are currently worried about the kid in the basement making the viral Star Wars clip. Because, hey, they can't do that! And yes, as discussed, they technically can't. Well, technically they technically can, but they legally can't.

But can they, if, say, they make it for their own purposes using their own, locally-run models? Again, I'll leave that for the lawyers, but the edges start to get grayer still. I'm reminded here more of the OpenAI/Studio Ghibli debates last year. What if you're an excellent artist and can draw your own art that looks exactly like Studio Ghibli work for your own amusement? Is that illegal? No? So why would it be to use AI in such a way for your own purposes? Because you're technically not drawing it? Why is a prompt not a type of art? Because of how the AI was trained? Because of something else?

Video is more divisive because it's more visceral. But also, when real actors are involved, new lines are drawn. You can't just put Tom Cruise into your video, right? But what if you put the guy who looks a lot like Tom Cruise into that video? Actually, let's cut to the extreme: What if, say, Tom Cruise had a twin brother, Dom Cruise, who obviously wasn't Tom Cruise but looked exactly like Tom Cruise? Can you not create footage with Dom because he looks exactly like Tom?

Obviously not without Dom's permission, but what if you had it? Could you make a Mission: Impossible-like scene with Dom Cruise? This is, of course, theoretical. But also perhaps instructive for future legal fights. If Tom Cruise never filmed any of the scenes in your AI usage, was it still Tom Cruise in them? Where does his likeness end? Again, perhaps back to the training, but what if the model just trained on that guy who looked a lot like Tom Cruise? Not even his hypothetical twin?

Further, what if an actor allows for their likeness to be used this way? Here I'm thinking about people like Bruce Willis, who was busy making seemingly endless B-level direct-to-DVD movies before anyone really knew about his horrible health ailments that were slowly making it impossible for him to work anymore. What if such a situation led an actor to sign over their rights to be reproduced, as it were? Obviously, there would be boundaries to that, but what if they signed them over to an AI player, such as Disney did with some (decidedly non human) rights with OpenAI?

That's probably the best case scenario for all of this because it draws more firm guardrails around such usage. And that's undoubtedly why we're seeing actors like Matthew McConaughey cut deals for their AI usage. We're clearly going to see more and more of this for all types of likeness rights.

But that's going to obviously take a while to work out. And one suspects there will be dozens or hundreds or even thousands of legal battles between now and then. But at the end of the day, it seems unlikely that the technology gets put back into the proverbial box, so it's a question of the way Hollywood figures out how to leverage it. And if that's simply the (unfortunate) situation of fewer people working on movies. Or if it allows more movies to be made and that scale leading to more (but different) jobs...

And if – as I've long been harping on – all of this doesn't lead to a world in which human-made creations aren't more highly valued than those created by AI? Because we recognize that it's the input – time – that matters, and not just the output. The reality is probably somewhere in between, because a lot of movies will use AI to some degree. But those that are more "human-first" may end up doing better as a result. Not necessarily because the end result is better, but simply because humans tend to like and appreciate work made by other humans.

With all that in mind, I'm not sure how much of a 'Sputnik Moment' this will also be. (I mean, can there even be multiple "Sputnik Moments" — "Sputnii Moments"?) I do appreciate that while we were busy worrying about Sora, a Chinese company walks into the bar full-on "hold my beer" style. But I also suspect that a half dozen other models with similar video capabilities will launch shortly. That's just how this tends to work. So the bigger question remains...

Is it "likely over" for Hollywood? No, not likely. But it’s yet another wake up call. The gates are being thrown open and gatekeepers tend not to like that… But they should, because it may be the key to all of this working in the end.

I will just quote Rhett Reese again:

"In next to no time, one person is going to be able to sit at a computer and create a movie indistinguishable from what Hollywood now releases. True, if that person is no good, it will suck. But if that person possesses Christopher Nolan’s talent and taste (and someone like that will rapidly come along), it will be tremendous."

Yes. This. The copyright stuff will get sorted. Sure, there may be a period of pain just as there was with piracy, but we'll figure that out. I don't mean to fully downplay this, I just feel the need to counter the doom-and-gloom somewhat. And I can't help but wonder if we're focused on the wrong things here...

👇
Previously, on Spyglass...
Love It If We Made It
AI will disrupt work. We will adapt.
DeepSeek 2: The Movie
The “AI-Generated Hit Movie” Horror Story
AI-generated movies are coming. But AI-generated “hit movies”?…
DeepSeek 2: The Movie
A Spirited Debate Around AI
There are fundamental questions likely without good answers; let’s focus on how this needs to work for everyone
DeepSeek 2: The Movie

1 Certainly shades of when DeepSeek 'V3' launched to realtive little fanfare before 'R1' launched...

I Am the Great Glassholio!

2026-02-16 02:01:36

I Am the Great Glassholio!

Remember what a stir Google Glass caused a decade-plus ago when it launched far too early into the world and gave us the "Glasshole"? Also remember the stir Meta causes when it does... well basically anything? Well, here's a new report from Kashmir Hill, Kalley Huang, and Mike Isaac for The New York Times:

Five years ago, Facebook shut down the facial recognition system for tagging people in photos on its social network, saying it wanted to find “the right balance” for a technology that raises privacy and legal concerns.

Now it wants to bring facial recognition back.

Meta, Facebook’s parent company, plans to add the feature to its smart glasses, which it makes with the owner of Ray-Ban and Oakley, as soon as this year, according to four people involved with the plans who were not authorized to speak publicly about confidential discussions. The feature, internally called “Name Tag,” would let wearers of smart glasses identify people and get information about them via Meta’s artificial intelligence assistant.

Look, technology aside, maybe – just maybe – read the room here Meta? People generally seem to at best distrust AI and at worst, dislike AI. Certainly in your core market at the moment. We can debate if this is warranted and how much of it has to do with messaging but... it is what it is right now. And right now, you've managed to get around this issue with the Ray-Ban Meta smart glasses. I think that's largely been the case because these glasses are not, um, framed around AI, but rather just as decidedly regular-looking glasses (thanks, EssilorLuxottica) meshed by seemingly straightforward, fun technology. You know what will change that perception fast? Turning on facial recognition capabilities. You know how I know that? Because third-parties have already done the helpful field work for you here ahead of time. If and when you enable this, it's going to be a total shitshow.

Naturally, they seem to know this too...

Meta’s plans could change. The Silicon Valley company has been conferring since early last year about how to release a feature that carries “safety and privacy risks,” according to an internal document viewed by The New York Times. The document, from May, described plans to first release Name Tag to attendees of a conference for the blind, which the company did not do last year, before making it available to the general public.

Meta’s internal memo said the political tumult in the United States was good timing for the feature’s release.

“We will launch during a dynamic political environment where many civil society groups that we would expect to attack us would have their resources focused on other concerns,” according to the document from Meta’s Reality Labs, which works on hardware including smart glasses.

Jesus Fucking Christ. This is like the ultimate crescendo of cluelessness. You tell me, is "the blind leading the literal blind" too on the nose? No? How about putting in writing your plan to try to put this out there when the rest of the world is distracted? I mean, even if there's validity in that strategy, you don't say that out loud. Actually, you do say that out loud, what you don't do is put it in email!

I don't really understand how Meta is so bad that this, but I'd be lying if I said it wasn't fun to watch. They're seemingly on the verge of taking a pretty popular product and weaponizing it, turning it into the most polarizing form of AI yet.

What insanely controversial project will Meta think of next?

👇
Previously, on Spyglass...
“I need your clothes, your boots, and your motorcycle.”
The ‘Terminator’ analogies come for Meta’s Ray-Ban smart glasses…
I Am the Great Glassholio!
Meta’s Only Slightly Better Than Burning Books Plan...
How Tech Giants Cut Corners to Harvest Data for A.I. Meta debated buying a publisher like Simon & Schuster for AI training data... The New York Times Various There is a lot in this NYT report – bylined by five reporters: Cade Metz, Cecilia Kang, Sheera Frenkel, Stuart A. Thompson and
I Am the Great Glassholio!
AI Needs Its Steve Jobs
Everyone seemingly wants to shoot the current AI messengers…
I Am the Great Glassholio!
Meta Looks to Overcome the ‘Glasshole’ Stigma
With Ray-Ban, they can keep the pressure on in the ‘smart glasses’ space as it shifts back to screens…
I Am the Great Glassholio!

Apple Cannot Be Sirious

2026-02-12 22:12:06

Apple Cannot Be Sirious

Stop me if you've heard this before: Apple may have to delay the roll-out of some features for the new version of Siri. Oh, you have heard this before? A half-dozen times just in the past few years? Weird. It's almost like Apple is having some major issues with their AI implementation and strategy. They should probably look into that. Perhaps before Mark Gurman does for Bloomberg?

Apple Inc.’s long-planned upgrade to the Siri virtual assistant has run into snags during testing in recent weeks, potentially pushing back the release of several highly anticipated functions.

After planning to include the new capabilities in iOS 26.4 — an operating system update slated for March — Apple is now working to spread them out over future versions, according to people familiar with the matter. That would mean possibly postponing at least some features until at least iOS 26.5, due in May, and iOS 27, which comes out in September.

Fool me once, shame on you, fool me twice, shame on me, fool me a dozen times... just shame. Shame. Shame. Shame.

As I see it, Apple has two problems. The first one is the bigger one: they need to fix Siri. But the second one is tangentially related to that quest: they need to plug the leak of detailed information about the Siri roadmap and timeline.

Officially, Apple has only said that they planned to launch a new version of Siri in 2026. This is embarrassing in and of itself considering that it is functionality they promised at WWDC two years ago and infamously ran commercials about new features even though it was effectively vaporware at the time. Many of those features got pushed into 2025. And then they had to reshuffle the entire effortincluding the team overseeing AI – which pushed everything into 2026. We're only two months into 2026, so normally Apple would have some time here. The problem is that they incredible amount of leaks, almost all of which result in Mark Gurman scoops for Bloomberg, have seemingly given the public far more granular details about the timing and yes, issues.

Apple is a famously secretive company, and yet these highly specific leaks have been going on for years at this point. It's honestly pretty weird. I used to do such reporting for a living with my share of Apple scoops back in the day. When those would happen, Apple would move fast and decisively to try to plug any holes, and they often would. I'm honestly not sure what to make of the fact that they haven't here – again, over years and years. And this is a perfect example of how damaging it can be to the company. Again, without these reports, no one outside the company would likely know that there are ongoing issues. Instead:

In the spring of last year, Apple delayed the rollout, saying the new Siri would instead arrive in 2026. It never announced more specific timing. Internally, though, Apple settled on the March 2026 target — tying it to iOS 26.4 — a goal that remained in place as recently as last month.

But testing uncovered fresh problems with the software, prompting the latest postponements, said the people, who asked not to be identified because the deliberations are private. Siri doesn’t always properly process queries or can take too long to handle requests, they said.

Thanks to Gurman's reporting, the entire market has been guided to expect a new version of Siri coming in that iOS 26.4 update. And given that iOS 26.3 just launched yesterday, the first beta builds of this new Siri update are undoubtedly imminent. In fact, we know the exact targeted week: February 23. How? Yet another Gurman report. On something as granular as the timing for a beta roll-out.

Anyway, everyone – including myself – was starting to get excited. Apple was finally going to fix Siri! Of course, we all had no reason to believe Apple here after 15 years of such promises, except that this time they made the hard (and correct) decision to outsource the AI work, going so far as to announce the partnership with Google to use Gemini. That's how dire the situation had become. The super secretive Apple, a company which famously aims to own and control their entire stack, had to publicly announce this partnership – with a major rival, no less – despite it being a de facto admission that they messed up Siri badly enough, and their AI strategy more broadly, that they couldn't fix it themselves.

And they had to announce this, in part, because of the reporting on the matter. Everyone knew they were weighing partnering to fix Siri. And that a bake-off was going on. And between whom. So Apple had little choice but to comment on it when it was over and Google was picked as the winner – never mind the fact that Apple may have wanted to pick Anthropic but the AI startup wanted too much money to use customize Claude, per who else... With the announcement, it looked like Apple was finally putting the AI shitshow behind them. The market cheered.

And again, thanks to these Gurman reports, we knew to expect to see some progress shortly with these beta builds. Not so fast...

In recent days, Apple instructed engineers to use the upcoming iOS 26.5 in order to test new Siri features, implying that the functionality may have been moved back by at least one release. Internal versions of that update now include a notice describing the addition of some Siri enhancements.

One feature is especially likely to slip: the expanded ability for Siri to tap into personal data. That technology would let users ask the assistant to, say, search old text messages to locate a podcast shared by a friend and immediately play it.

The tapping into personal data feature was literally the marquee selling-point of Siri in that WWDC 2024 keynote. We're clearly going to go a full two years without Apple being able to ship that, even despite the Google partnership.

To be clear, I found it a little odd that the timing of the first Siri fixes were coming so soon after Apple announced the partnership. While there are undoubtedly some things that the two sides could plug-and-play, it seems like there might be a million little edge cases for things that would break when swapping models. And well, they're breaking...

Testers have also reported accuracy issues, as well as a bug that causes Siri to cut users off when they’re speaking too quickly. And there are problems handling complex queries that require longer processing times.

Another challenge: The new Siri sometimes falls back on its existing integration with OpenAI’s ChatGPT instead of using Apple’s own technology. That can happen even when Siri should be capable of handling the request.

Again, these details are beyond embarrassing. And makes it seem ridiculous that Apple would tout the partnership publicly – certainly without giving an updated time frame as to when to expect the fruits of such labor. Instead, we have all been going off of Gurman's reporting. And so when timetables inevitably slip...

It's more egg on the face for Apple!

And while you might think the public doesn't care about such things, the "Siri sucks" narrative has clearly gone mainstream. As has the "Apple is behind in AI" talk, which had been problematic for their stock price. Yes, it has bounced back a bit thanks in part to being a hedge against the Big Tech CapEx situation, but more so on the resurgence of the iPhone sales. But still, Apple spent years and years as the most valuable company in the world, now they're battling to stay in second or even third place on most days. Why? AI of course. Whether or not you believe in its value right now, the long-term prospects have boosted all of their competitors. And it has fueled this narrative that Apple is behind, and continuing to slide.

You know what doesn't help that narrative? Reports that Siri continues to slip...

Anyway, my point is that it's wild how Apple cannot plug these leaks when its so clearly hurting the company in very tangible ways. But yes, the bigger issues seems to remain that they cannot fix Siri.

And while I was excited for this Google partnership and for Apple to put this sad chapter behind them, I'm no longer sure they'll actually be able to. And that Siri may continue to suck for the 15th year in a row...


Update February 13, 2026: After the report of the Siri delay (and a report about the regulators looking into Apple News bias) Apple had its worst day on the stock market in nearly a year, closing down 5%. This prompted Apple to tell CNBC that the new Siri remains on track for 2026 – which is exactly the framing I described above and again points to why the leaks are such a problem for the company.


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Previously, on Spyglass...
Apple Finally Agrees to Fix Siri
They’ll swap Google billions for Gemini trillions (of parameters)…
Apple Cannot Be Sirious
Why So Siri-ous, Indeed
How new Siri parallels old Siri…
Apple Cannot Be Sirious
The Voice Assistant Who Cried Wolf
Can Siri meet the moment this time?
Apple Cannot Be Sirious