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site iconTomasz TunguzModify

I’m a venture capitalist since 2008. I was a PM on the Ads team at Google and worked at Appian before.
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Rss preview of Blog of Tomasz Tunguz

Most AI Work Can Wait

2026-07-01 08:00:00

Prioritize routing over model choice. Most AI work runs on cheap local models.

The CIO's Choices are Clear in 2026

2026-06-30 08:00:00

The CIO's choices are clear in 2026. Across 87 public SaaS & platform companies, only Infrastructure & Dev Tools (+68.5% 1Y) & Security (+17.6% 1Y) are positive; the other three sectors are down. Category, not growth, separates winners from losers : the market buys the AI stack & sells the seat-priced application layer.

When AI Costs More Than the Engineer

2026-06-29 08:00:00

Anthropic spends 2.3x its payroll on compute — $515k per engineer per year at today's $224k fully-loaded salary. The top 1% of software companies spend $89k, the median $137. Three 2029 scenarios bracket how that gap closes.

What If There Is No Moat Yet?

2026-06-26 08:00:00

At the application layer, moats are lagging, earned through scale & brand. At infrastructure, capital intensity demands a leading moat at founding.

Full Sail on Asynchronous Inference

2026-06-25 08:00:00

The inference market is the largest in software. AI workloads are shifting from synchronous chat to asynchronous, multi-turn agents that run for hours. Sail Research builds fleet-aware orchestration to maximize throughput per dollar of inference spend.

Defending Against AI-Powered Attackers

2026-06-24 08:00:00

Sunil Agrawal, CISO at Glean, joins Office Hours to discuss what security readiness looks like when attackers use frontier models for reconnaissance, phishing, deepfakes, and exploit generation.