MoreRSS

site iconTaylor TroeshModify

Author of essays on learning, time, design, and humor, shares insights through scrapscript and blogs.hn.
Please copy the RSS to your reader, or quickly subscribe to:

Inoreader Feedly Follow Feedbin Local Reader

Rss preview of Blog of Taylor Troesh

The Five-Week Solo Startup

2025-03-17 08:00:00

There are no shortcuts. You cannot build a successful company in five weeks.

But for optimists (and lunatics), five weeks is plenty to start a company.

You probably have a dayjob. Exceed your employer's expectations. Don't accept paychecks you don't deserve. Work on your startup mornings (not evenings) and weekends. Save your PTO until the third week, and then start taking off Mondays/Tuesdays (not Thursdays/Fridays) if needed. If you can no longer maintain stellar quality at work, it's time to move on.

Week 1

Founders must adopt an investor mindset. If you want to create value, learn how to assess opportunity, how to leverage assets, and how to hedge risk.

It's okay to fundraise and it's okay to bootstrap. Either way, don't let ego rule you. Capital can be a tool like any other.

Investors don't choose startups, they choose founders. They want to multiply their money, and they want you to do it. But you can't just "pivot" a lousy personality. Nobody wants to bet on a billion-dollar idea that's chained to a fool.

If you are worth investment, then invest in yourself.

  1. Get a haircut. Maintain a clean/fresh appearance. Any style will do.
  2. Learn to listen. If most strangers don't describe you as "charismatic", you must upgrade your EQ. Read HTWFAIP, Motivational Interviewing, and Supercommunicators. Use AI to practice listening.
  3. Hire a therapist. Launching a venture is hard. Secondhand-stress ruins relationships. Your spouse is not your therapist. If you vent more than you listen, your support system will avoid you in proportion to how much you need them.
  4. Look in the mirror. Who are you? What values will you compromise? How do you want to behave? How do you want others to perceive you? What do you want living to feel like?
  5. Get enthusiastic consent. If you can't sell your vision to your inner circle, you are not ready to start. Friends/family should call your startup idea "obvious". If they aren't ecstatic about your gameplan, you haven't (1) demonstrated competence/value or (2) hedged against known risks.
  6. Take a headshot. A high-quality profile picture indicates that you were once worth a professional photo.
  7. Become searchable. Investors hesitate to throw money at mysterious strangers. Update your LinkedIn work history. Also consider Googling yourself to find/delete unused accounts.
  8. Upgrade your audio/video. Buy a mic (if you can afford it). Buy a webcam light (even if you can't afford it). If you've got Apple devices, buy a mount for Continuity Cam.
  9. Go hands-free. As a business owner, you will be a slave to the telephone; invest in some comfortable bluetooth headphones so you can walk and talk.
  10. Learn to send emails. Quick replies impress investors and customers. Respond to every email/SMS/voicemail within 12 hours (preferably less). Master the art of terse emails.
  11. Accept AI. Founders wear all the hats. Pay the extra cash for Grok DeepResearch (great for web search) and Claude (best for everything else). LLM text has a pungent odor, so beware of copy/paste. And remember that LLMs bias toward "unsurprising" results; even correct advice can revert you towards the mean.

Week 2

Good businesses create non-zero-sum wealth. If you sell that wealth for dollars, you can create more wealth to sell.

Outside of theft and burglary, the only way to make money is to convince other people to give you their money.

  1. Close a customer. A business with no customers is just a stressful hobby. Opt for FPC (First Paying Customer) before MVP. Nominal revenue (e.g. $1) counts. Don't prematurely automate; do boring manual labor and sell before you're ready.
  2. Serve your customer. Deliver your promise. Compromise nothing. Treat your customer like a deity.
  3. Upgrade. How can you make this customer exchange more delightful? Smoother? Less stressful? Adopt processes. Purchase tools. Hire people.

Week 3

The main thing is to keep the main thing the main thing.

Create wealth and sell it to customers. You will not succeed if you cannot (1) create wealth, (2) find customers, and (3) sell that wealth.

  1. Close five customers. You can do this. You have something they need.
  2. Serve your customers. Pamper them. No excuses.
  3. Upgrade. Adopt/build/hire processes/tools/people that increase quality, improve consistency, increase speed, reduce cost, etc.
  4. Land a loan/investment. By working with customers, you've probably identified a concrete use for capital. Convince a family member or friend to send a small check ($1k-$25k). Simple loans are easiest; you can remain a sole-proprietor indefinitely and skip loads of paperwork. If you want to exchange equity (i.e. a security), they probably need to be an accredited investor (i.e. "millionaire"); you'll need to incorporate (e.g. Stripe Atlas) and manage stakeholders (e.g. AngelList). Each investment -- no matter how small -- is faith in you. Make every penny count; repay their wagers tenfold.
  5. Follow up. You're sending more emails; don't wait for people. Pester Plan A, start Plan B, and devise Plan C. This is your life now.
  6. Create visual media. You will soon be sharing pitch decks, ads, etc. You need professional illustrations, a "good enough" logo, high-quality photos (or renders), explainer videos, etc. You might have good enough taste to do it yourself, but you do not have enough time. Hire somebody (e.g. Fiverr) to produce more materials than you think you need. Don't be lazy -- stock photos and AI images reek of corporate cringe.

Week 4

Don't lose focus. Share your wealth.

  1. Delight existing customers. This is (and will forever be) your main duty.
  2. Meet new customers. Who are your customers? Where do they go? What are their wildest hopes/dreams?
  3. Upgrade. Better. Faster. Cheaper.
  4. More loans/investments. Befriend leverage. Deploy capital.
  5. Launch a landing page. The internet is cool, but don't overdo it. Choose a simple website host (e.g. Squarespace, Shopify). Embed/link a webform for leads.
  6. Advertise. Yes, everybody hates ads. Swallow your pride and advertise on Instagram, Google, Reddit, YouTube, LinkedIn, etc.
  7. Share your pitch deck. If you're going to fundraise, start now. Build a pitch deck. Do not reinvent the wheel; investors expect slides with specific information. If you're lucky, somebody will spend 20 seconds scrolling through it on their phone. Prefer pictures/charts over words; Claude/ChatGPT can plot data quickly. Your goal is to (1) prove competence, (2) guarantee profits, and (3) mitigate risks. Ask Grok DeepResearch to match you with compatible VCs/incubators/accelerators; submit your deck to each website.

Week 5+

Put everything together. Construct an engine that predictably transforms money into wealth, and then wealth into more money.

  1. Grow. Delight customers. Meet customers. Upgrade. Borrow. Advertise. Repeat.
  2. Pitch. If fundraising, submit pitches. Listen. Hedge risks. Refine your thesis. Repeat. Don't be greedy, and never cash a check that is chained to a fool. Revere $1K checks, $1M checks, $1B checks. Somebody believes in you; don't betray that trust. Live your values without exception. Protect every damn ounce of reputation.
  3. Recruit. Go fast alone; go far together. Find friends. Surround yourself with your favorite people; bring out their best. Help them achieve their wildest dreams, and don't get left behind.

This is just the beginning. The rules are simple, but the game is grueling:

  • When demand is scarce, listen to customers. You should (A) increase quality/experience, (B) reduce costs, (C) educate customers, and/or (D) admit defeat.
  • If capital can help, ask for it.
  • If you've got more demand (customers) than supply, you should (A) raise prices and/or (B) increase supply.
  • If each new customer brings $10 of profit, you should spend up to $10 to find a new customer.

If you succeed, share that abundance with others. Remember where you're going, remember where you came from, and choose who you're becoming.

A Conversation Algorithm I Cribbed From Clinical Psychologists

2025-03-16 08:00:00

Many folks find me abrasive. I pry, probe, steamroll conversations, miss social cues, argue, trounce boundaries, send mixed/unintentional signals, deeply offend, and so on.

I'm as charismatic as a root canal.

But I'm determined to grow. Books like HTWFAIP and How to Have Impossible Conversations and How To Talk So Kids Will Listen contain countless gems to evoke the best from people.

Unfortunately, I can't use that wisdom. When it comes time to put my mouth where my mouth is, I drown in the speed of normal conversation.

People somehow learn this stuff. There's literally school for it. How do they learn to talk and listen?

There are no shortcuts. In licensed therapy programs, professionals evangelize conflicting frameworks and nobody knows what's going on. I'm here to share one such framework.

Motivational Interviewing

Motivational Interviewing was developed for substance abuse rehabilitation, but it's grown popular with clinical psychologists, therapists, counselors, etc.

I'm no professional -- just some random internet person -- but MI has dramatically improved my listening skills.

My amateur summary of MI is that (1) people feel ambivalence, (2) change comes from within, and (3) "OARS" conversations hasten that change.

Ambivalence

I suddenly spotted that ambivalence everywhere. People frequently feel anxiety/grief about work, family, health, etc. These enormous feelings leak into conversations as venting, gossip, smalltalk, and current events.

Street Epistomology offers guides on how to encourage productive dialogue. Consider using those techniques to help others explore beliefs and feelings.

Change

Watching somebody's brain "click" is a rare delight of life. All of a sudden, that face lights up -- loss to enlightenment.

These moments rarely happen during dialogue, because you can't change the brain through the ears.

Think about your own experience. Most "a-ha" moments don't occur in the classroom -- they happen while doing the homework. There is no substitute for first-person learning.

You cannot lecture somebody into changing beliefs/feelings/motivations, but you can totally watch friends do their homework.

Don't assume too much -- part of the magic is learning what homework they've assigned themselves.

OARS

When people share confused/conflicting feelings, you can use OARS:

  • Open-ended Questions: Encouraging elaboration with "what," "how," and "tell me about" questions that explore feelings, values, and priorities while avoiding judgmental "why" questions that can shut down conversation.
  • Affirmations: Recognizing strengths, efforts, self-awareness, and courage shown through expressing conflicting feelings, including positive qualities the person might not recognize in themselves.
  • Reflective Listening: Demonstrating understanding of their perspective using both simple and complex reflections that capture underlying meanings and both sides of ambivalence, sometimes incorporating metaphors to represent emotional complexity.
  • Summarizing: Collecting and linking important elements by highlighting key tensions, structuring summaries to show relationships between different feelings, and ending with an invitation for correction or further exploration.

Yeah, I hate social-science acronyms too. I've internalized it as an algorithm:

  1. Move conversations along via "You…" statements. Where do you think they're going with this? e.g. "You're thinking about quitting.", "You're frustrated by your progress.", "You're unsure what to do next." If you don't know where they're going next, ask an open-ended question.
  2. If you're impressed by somebody's strength/courage/etc, pay them a compliment. Never lie or patronize.
  3. When they conclude a line of thought, ask an open-ended question.
  4. When lots of tangents/threads are open, identify themes/patterns and try summarizing.

Practice your conversational skills with this LLM prompt: "Help me practice OARS via role-playing. You are a friend I haven't seen in a few weeks."

Examples

I'm thinking about trying that new restaurant downtown, but I saw some mixed reviews online. Some people loved it and others said the service was terrible.

  • Open-ended Question: "What kinds of things make or break a restaurant experience for you?"
  • Affirmation: "You're doing your homework before spending your money there."
  • Reflective Listening: "You're curious about the place but hesitant because of what you've read."
  • Summarizing: "You want to check out this new spot, but the inconsistent reviews have you wondering if it's worth the risk of having a disappointing night out."

Everyone's talking about that new show, but I watched three episodes and just couldn't get into it. I feel like I'm missing something.

  • Open-ended Question: "What about it didn't click for you?"
  • Affirmation: "You gave it a fair chance instead of just going along with the hype."
  • Reflective Listening: "You're feeling a bit out of step with what everyone else seems to be enjoying."
  • Summarizing: "So while this show is getting all this buzz, it just didn't connect with you despite giving it several episodes, and now you're wondering if there's something you're not seeing that others are."

Did you hear about that big tech company layoff? They cut 5000 jobs after reporting record profits last quarter. It seems so unfair.

  • Open-ended Question: "What do you think is really behind these kinds of corporate decisions?"
  • Affirmation: "You're keeping up with business news and noticing the contradictions there."
  • Reflective Listening: "The timing of cutting jobs right after announcing big profits feels wrong to you."
  • Summarizing: "So you're seeing this disconnect between a company doing well financially and still eliminating thousands of jobs, which raises questions about their priorities and values."

I hate my job. My boss micromanages everything I do, and I feel like I'm wasting my talents. But I can't afford to quit.

  • Open-ended Question: "What bugs you most about your everyday work life?"
  • Affirmation: "You really know your worth and you're being smart about the money side of things too."
  • Reflective Listening: "Sounds like you're stuck between a job that's dragging you down and bills that need to be paid."
  • Summarizing: "So your boss's hovering is driving you crazy, and you know you could be doing better things with your skills. But right now, the financial reality is keeping you from making a move."

I know I should exercise more and eat better. Every Monday I start a new routine but by Wednesday I'm back to my old habits. I just don't have the willpower.

  • Open-ended Question: "What tends to throw you off track around Wednesday?"
  • Affirmation: "I notice you keep trying every week - that takes some real persistence."
  • Reflective Listening: "It's pretty frustrating when you start strong but can't seem to keep it going."
  • Summarizing: "You want those healthier habits and you give it a fresh shot every week. You start off great, but something happens a couple days in that knocks you off course, and that's got you thinking maybe you just don't have what it takes."

I've been offered two jobs. One pays better but requires long hours. The other is more aligned with my interests but the salary is lower. I've been going back and forth for days and can't decide.

  • Open-ended Question: "Besides the money and hours, what really matters to you in a job right now?"
  • Affirmation: "You're not jumping at the first offer - you're really thinking this through."
  • Reflective Listening: "You're torn between the paycheck and doing something you actually care about, and it's stressing you out."
  • Summarizing: "So you're at this fork in the road - more money but less life, or work you care about but tighter finances. It's tough because both paths speak to different things you value."

My partner and I keep having the same argument. They say I'm not communicative enough, but when I try to talk, they interrupt or criticize what I'm saying. It's easier to just stay quiet.

  • Open-ended Question: "What would good talking between you two look like?"
  • Affirmation: "You're pretty tuned in to what's happening between you two."
  • Reflective Listening: "You're in this loop where trying to open up just leads to feeling shut down, so why bother?"
  • Summarizing: "So they want you to talk more, but when you do, you get cut off or criticized. That makes you clam up, which brings you back to square one. No wonder you're frustrated."

Napkin Math Tool

2025-03-15 08:00:00

Quantity

0 individual person
1 nuclear family, small friend group, car pool, small team
2 extended family reunion, classroom, apartment building, small company
3 elementary school, village, large wedding, medium company office
4 large high school, small town, popular concert, large corporation office
5 major sports stadium, medium-sized city, large university, industry convention
6 large metropolitan area, small country, global company workforce
7 large urban area population, mid-sized country, global social media platform users
8 Japan's population, global corporation's customer base, global sport viewership
9 India or China's population, Facebook users, global television audience
10 world population + historical population, estimated global internet users by 2030
11 estimated human historical total, ants on Earth, trees on Earth
12 estimated stars in the Milky Way, global annual digital information in bytes

Probability

-10 practically impossible, every atom in your body quantum tunneling simultaneously one foot to the left
-9 astronomically unlikely, shuffling a deck and getting cards in perfect sequential order, specific molecular-level event
-8 nearly inconceivable, winning national lottery jackpot twice in a row with single tickets, specific quantum tunneling event
-7 virtually impossible, same person being struck by lightning twice in a lifetime, specific major asteroid impact in a given year
-6 exceptionally uncommon, random person winning a specific state lottery, fatal reaction to a well-tested vaccine
-5 extremely rare, winning $100+ in a specific scratch-off lottery ticket, specific major earthquake occurring on a given day
-4 highly improbable, winning a specific 4-digit lottery number, being struck by lightning in your lifetime
-3 0.1%, rare event, being dealt a royal flush in poker, dying in a car accident in a given year (US)
-2 1%, very unlikely, winning a specific raffle with 100 tickets, professional athlete having career-ending injury in a given game
-1 10%, moderate chance, rolling a 1 on a 10-sided die, rain in Seattle on a random day, minor side effect from medication
0 100%, absolute certainty, guaranteed outcome, mathematical proof, sunrise tomorrow, death eventually occurring

Time (seconds)

-9 fastest computer operations
-8 light traveling 3 meters, fastest electronic switching
-7 high-performance CPU clock cycle
-6 RAM memory access time, radar echo
-5 modern computer instruction cycle, sound traveling 3.4 meters
-4 fastest human reflex, high-speed camera frame, computer memory access
-3 computer CPU cycle, camera flash duration, neuron firing
-2 fast eye movement, nerve impulse transmission, hummingbird wingbeat
-1 camera shutter click, finger snap, lightning flash
0 heartbeat, eye blink, saying a short word
1 taking a quick breath, typing a sentence, drinking a glass of water
2 1.7 min, microwaving a meal, brushing teeth thoroughly, waiting in a short line
3 16.7 min, cooking a meal, commuting to work, watching a sitcom episode
4 2.8 hr, watching a movie trilogy, cross-town drive, professional sports game
5 1.2 days, weekend getaway, binge-watching a TV season, transatlantic flight
6 11.6 days, two-week vacation, waiting for a passport, healing from minor surgery
7 3.8 months, college semester, pregnancy trimester, training for a marathon
8 3.2 years, undergraduate degree, Olympic cycle, presidential term
9 31.7 years, mortgage payoff, career span, generational shift
10 317 years, rise and fall of empires, scientific revolutions, industrial age
11 3,170 years, development of world religions, rise and fall of ancient civilizations
12 31,700 years, ice ages, evolution of human language, cave painting to quantum computing

Frequency (hertz)

-1 earth rotation cycle, tide changes, circadian rhythm
0 human heartbeat, breathing cycle, clock second
1 slow typing speed, resting brain alpha waves, hummingbird wings
2 lowest musical note perception, fast typing, camera shutter
3 telephone voice band, musical middle C (261.6 Hz), bee's wings
4 highest musical notes, upper limit of human hearing (young adults)
5 bat echolocation, ultrasonic cleaning, medical imaging
6 AM radio transmissions, medical ultrasound imaging (1 MHz)
7 shortwave radio, MRI scanners, RFID systems
8 FM radio broadcast, aerospace communications
9 microwave ovens, mobile phones, GPS signals (1 GHz)
10 satellite communications, wireless networks, microwave links
11 millimeter-wave scanners, automotive radar, 5G communications
12 infrared radiation, thermal imaging, fiber optic communications (1 THz)

Money (dollars)

-2 penny, small paper clip, individual grain of rice, single cotton ball, one sheet of paper, 1g of soil, single drop of fresh water
-1 text message, small candy, plastic pen, rubber band pack, paper napkin, 1kg of sand, 1L of fresh water, handful of topsoil
0 candy bar, song download, dollar store item, public transit ride, service tip, 1 cubic meter of air, small bundle of firewood
1 fast food meal, movie ticket, paperback book, basic streaming subscription, cocktail, 1 ton of raw limestone, small garden plot (1 sq meter)
2 decent pair of shoes, week of groceries, nice dinner for two, monthly utility bill, entry-level headphones, 1 barrel of crude oil, 1 ton of coal, small pine tree
3 one month's rent (some areas), budget laptop, domestic flights, basic furniture set, low-end bicycle, 1 acre of rural land, 1 ton of iron ore, small residential solar array
4 used car, year of in-state tuition, high-end appliances, budget wedding, luxurious vacation, 1 acre of arable farmland, small woodlot, 1 ton of copper ore
5 home down payment, luxury car, four-year degree, small business startup, year's salary for mid-level professional, small local businesses, pre-seed startups, 1 ton of refined copper, small natural gas well, 10 acres of forest land
6 house in most cities, retirement fund, small business acquisition, exotic supercars, multiple college educations, seed-stage startups, small local chains, small oil well, 1 ton of silver ore, small quarry operation
7 mansion in premium location, medium-sized jet, multi-location business, minor league sports team, significant art collection, early-stage startups, regional businesses, medium mining operation, small wind farm, 1 ton of gold ore
8 private island development, large business conglomerate, major market sports franchise, significant venture capital fund, feature film production, series B/C startups, medium-sized private companies, coal-fired power plant, small oil field, moderate hydroelectric dam
9 major sports teams, large commercial developments, significant philanthropic foundations, major research initiatives, large company ownership stakes, Instacart, Roblox, Reddit, large diamond mine, major forest reserve, all of a small country's lithium reserves
10 national high-speed rail line, global tech platform, major airline group, significant portion of a major city, multiple global pharmaceutical companies, Airbnb, Snap, Uber, PayPal, large oil field, major hydroelectric project, 1% of global rare earth elements
11 large country's annual budget, global banking group, major tech ecosystem, comprehensive national infrastructure, international space program, Meta, Tesla, Alphabet, 10% of the world's copper reserves, all of Canada's timber, major river system
12 GDP of countries like Indonesia or Mexico, entire U.S. defense budget, ~5% of U.S. economy, nation-scale infrastructure overhaul, ~1/32 of U.S. national debt, Apple, Microsoft, Saudi Aramco, NVIDIA, all the world's extracted gold (~200,000 tons), all the world's copper reserves, Amazon rainforest

Dollars per day

-1 passive income from tiny investment, individual blog ad impression
0 small app subscription, basic streaming service, candy machine
1 entry-level gig work, small creator tips, coffee shop regular
2 minimum wage job, side hustle, small rental income
3 successful professional, small business, popular creator income
4 successful small business, local restaurant, medical practice
5 regional retailer, medium business, successful startup
6 major franchise, large corporation division, popular e-commerce site
7 Fortune 500 company, major sports team, large hospital system
8 tech giant, major bank, global retail chain
9 global conglomerate, major stock exchange, oil company
10 top global corporations combined, large national tax revenue
11 major economy GDP, global payment networks, global industry sector
12 largest global economies combined, world financial system
13 world economy, planetary scale economic activity

Days per $1000

-4 seconds micro-transaction processor fees, penny stock day trading
-3 minutes hourly wage of high-earner, fast food restaurant hourly sales
-2 hours minimum wage day's work, small coffee shop daily revenue
-1 days entry-level weekly salary, independent contractor daily rate
0 weeks average monthly rent payment, typical car payment
1 months budget smartphone lifetime cost, basic appliance over useful life
2 years lifetime utility of basic furniture, depreciation of budget used car
3 decades rural housing in developing regions, subsistence farming annual yield
4 centuries medieval craftsman lifetime earnings, ancient agricultural output
5 millennia early bronze age village production, paleolithic community resources

Dollars per kilogram

-1 bulk sand, gravel, raw earth, tap water
0 coal, industrial salt, raw agricultural products (wheat, rice)
1 bulk steel, basic plastics, flour, cement
2 basic electronics components, processed foods, common household goods
3 consumer electronics, quality clothing, specialty foods
4 high-end smartphones, designer clothing, quality tools
5 professional equipment, luxury fashion, fine jewelry
6 industrial machinery, medical devices, rare materials
7 advanced scientific instruments, satellite components, fine art
8 rare earth elements, pharmaceutical APIs, specialized aerospace materials
9 medical radioisotopes, cutting-edge semiconductor materials, precious gems
10 research-grade antimatter, certain advanced pharmaceuticals, rare isotopes
11 artificially produced super-heavy elements, experimental materials

Kilograms per dollar

-11 artificially produced super-heavy elements, experimental materials
-10 research-grade antimatter, certain advanced pharmaceuticals, rare isotopes
-9 medical radioisotopes, cutting-edge semiconductor materials, precious gems
-8 rare earth elements, pharmaceutical APIs, specialized aerospace materials
-7 advanced scientific instruments, satellite components, fine art
-6 industrial machinery, medical devices, rare materials
-5 professional equipment, luxury fashion, fine jewelry
-4 high-end smartphones, designer clothing, quality tools
-3 consumer electronics, quality clothing, specialty foods
-2 basic electronics components, processed foods, common household goods
-1 bulk steel, basic plastics, flour, cement
0 coal, industrial salt, raw agricultural products (wheat, rice)
1 bulk sand, gravel, raw earth, tap water

Energy (Joules)

-18 energy of a single DNA bond, quantum computing operation
-14 energy to flip a transistor in modern CPU
-10 energy to transmit one bit wirelessly, single nerve impulse
-6 energy of a mosquito flying for one second, mechanical watch tick
-3 energy to lift a paperclip 1 cm, honeybee wing flap
0 energy to lift an apple one meter, energy in a French fry, smartphone tap
1 energy of a slap, burning a match, smart watch charging for one minute
2 energy of a strong punch, AA battery, phone screen energy used per hour
3 food calories in a bite of apple, bicycle movement for ten seconds, boiling a cup of water
4 food calories in a candy bar, car movement for one second, toaster use for one minute
5 energy to heat a gallon of water, laptop energy use per day, microwave heating a meal
6 daily food intake for an adult, smartphone battery for a year, car moving at highway speed
7 energy in 1 liter of gasoline, household electricity for a day, lightning bolt
8 energy to launch a small rocket, household electricity for a week, small meteorite impact
9 energy in 30 gallons of gasoline, home energy use for a month, small tornado
10 energy released in a barrel of oil, residential electricity for a year, small earthquake
11 energy in a lightning storm, fuel for a cross-country flight, medium earthquake
12 small nuclear bomb, daily electricity for a small city, large hurricane
13 moderate nuclear explosion, monthly energy for a small city, major earthquake
14 large nuclear explosion, annual energy consumption of a small town, volcanic eruption
15 large meteor impact, daily solar energy reaching small country, hydrogen bomb

Power (Watts)

-18 single enzyme reaction, quantum tunneling event
-15 bacterial flagellar motor, molecular computation
-12 single neuron at rest, RFID tag in passive mode
-9 electronic watch operation, insect brain, ultra-low-power sensor
-6 hearing aid, pacemaker, IoT sensor in sleep mode
-3 smart watch in standby, Bluetooth headset, calculator
0 smartphone in standby, LED indicator, small electronic device
1 smartphone in active use, incandescent light bulb, laptop in sleep mode
2 laptop in active use, TV, refrigerator, ceiling fan
3 microwave oven, hairdryer, small electric heater, average home
4 small office building, electric car at highway speed, industrial machinery
5 large commercial building, passenger airplane, small factory
6 small power plant, large office building, passenger train
7 cruise ship, skyscraper, small town's electricity usage
8 medium-sized power plant, small city, large steel mill
9 large power plant, medium city, large industrial complex
10 nuclear power plant, large city, international airport
12 all power plants in a major country, civilization-level energy flow
15 worldwide human energy consumption, global electrical infrastructure
17 total solar energy intercepted by Earth, large asteroid impact
26 total energy output of the Sun, major stellar event

Kilowatt hours (kWh)

-3 single LED indicator for an hour, digital watch for a day
-2 bluetooth headset standby, hearing aid daily usage
-1 smartphone standby mode for a day, fitness tracker weekly use
0 laptop use for 5-10 hours, LED bulb for 1-2 days
1 average US household daily usage, electric vehicle charge (30-40 miles)
2 average US household weekly usage, Tesla Model S battery capacity
3 average US household monthly usage, small business monthly consumption
4 average US household yearly usage, small factory monthly operation
5 medium-sized business yearly usage, small hospital monthly consumption
6 large factory monthly usage, small town daily consumption
7 small city monthly consumption, large industrial complex annual usage
8 medium city monthly usage, average nuclear plant weekly output
9 large metropolitan area monthly consumption, nuclear plant monthly output
10 small country annual consumption, major hydroelectric dam yearly output
11 medium-sized country annual energy consumption
12 United States quarterly electricity consumption, global energy industry day
13 global annual electricity production, all human energy use for weeks

Milli-amp hours (mAh)

-1 hearing aid, bluetooth earbud, single LED for hours
0 smartwatch, wireless mouse, fitness tracker weekly use
1 entry-level smartphone, wireless keyboard, medical device
2 flagship smartphone, tablet, e-reader, 1-2 days mixed use
3 ultrabook laptop, portable speaker, 8-16 hours active use
4 gaming laptop, professional camera, 2-6 hours heavy use
5 electric scooter, small drone, portable power station
6 electric bicycle, professional video equipment, small UPS
7 electric motorcycle, home backup battery, 4-12 hours essential load
8 compact electric car, home energy storage, 100-250 miles range
9 luxury electric car, commercial backup, 250-400 miles range
10 electric bus/truck, neighborhood microgrid, 100-300 miles
11 grid-scale storage, commercial backup, days of power

Energy Storage Density (Wh/kg)

0 lead-acid, vehicle starter batteries, UPS systems
1 Ni-MH, power tools, early hybrid vehicles
2 Li-ion common, smartphones, laptops, most EVs
3 next-gen solid-state, emerging tech, future EVs
4 theoretical lithium-air, research stage, potential future

Dollars per kilowatt hour

-3 wholesale hydroelectric power, excess grid energy during oversupply
-2 large industrial electricity contracts, utility-scale solar in optimal locations
-1 typical residential electricity rates, grid-scale battery storage discharge
0 peak demand charges, small-scale battery storage, emergency backup power
1 remote microgrid electricity, power in disaster areas, portable power stations
2 helicopter-delivered emergency power, extreme remote locations, military expeditions
3 space station power costs, antarctic research stations during winter
4 early satellite power systems, specialized military portable power
5 first space missions power costs, experimental fusion research energy
6 theoretical cost of antimatter energy, earliest space program power supplies

Kilowatt hours per dollar

-6 theoretical antimatter energy production, earliest space program power
-5 early space mission power systems, experimental fusion research
-4 vintage satellite power, specialized military portable power systems
-3 space station power, antarctic research station during winter
-2 helicopter-delivered emergency power, extreme remote locations
-1 remote microgrid electricity, disaster area power, portable power stations
0 peak demand electricity, small-scale battery storage, emergency backup generators
1 typical residential electricity, standard grid power in developed countries
2 large industrial electricity contracts, utility-scale solar in optimal locations
3 wholesale hydroelectric power, excess grid energy during oversupply periods

Information (bits)

0 binary digit, yes/no answer, single state
1 two decimal digits, 3-digit binary number, single ASCII character
2 short sentence in ASCII, small icon, QR code with URL
3 paragraph of text, small black and white image, musical note
4 page of text, low-resolution image, short audio clip
5 book chapter, medium-quality image, few seconds of MP3 audio
6 entire book, high-quality photo, minute of music
7 encyclopedia article, RAW photo, song
8 small database, short video clip, software application
9 entire encyclopedia, hour of standard video, complex software
10 library collection, 4K movie, large dataset
11 all books in a large library, 8K video collection, enterprise database
12 Library of Congress holdings, year of HD video content
13 all words ever spoken by humans, DNA of human population sample
14 all music ever recorded, high-resolution brain scan database
15 all text/images ever published online, large enterprise data
16 global daily internet traffic, astronomical observation data
17 all digital content produced in a year, particle physics data
18 all human knowledge digitized, complete genomic database

Throughput (bps)

0 telegraph, Morse code transmission
1 slow teletype, early text terminals
2 early dialup modems, basic telemetry
3 early home internet, text-only experiences
4 basic dialup internet, text with simple images
5 fast dialup, early mobile data
6 early broadband, basic streaming audio
7 standard home broadband, SD video streaming
8 fast home internet, HD video streaming
9 gigabit internet, 4K video streaming
10 enterprise connection, multiple 8K streams
11 data center interconnect, major backbone links
12 major internet backbone, submarine cable systems
13 multi-cable submarine systems, satellite constellations
14 global internet infrastructure, combined backbone capacity

Operations

0 single CPU instruction, one line of code execution
1 simple database query, basic API call, small function execution
2 complex database transaction, rendering a web page, image processing routine
3 video frame rendering, machine learning prediction, complex search algorithm
4 3D scene rendering, large language model inference, complex sorting of large data
5 image recognition pipeline, real-time video processing, large matrix multiplication
6 training small machine learning model, full-text search of large corpus
7 3D animation rendering, large-scale data processing job, genome sequence alignment
8 climate simulation timestep, protein folding calculation, large ML model training
9 complex physics simulation, global weather model update, large video rendering
10 astronomical simulation, national-scale logistics optimization
12 global climate model, universe simulation timestep, cryptocurrency blockchain

Operations per second

0 mechanical calculator, human mental arithmetic
1 desktop calculator, early microcontroller
2 vintage personal computer, 1980s gaming console
3 1990s desktop computer, early smartphone
4 entry-level modern CPU core, embedded system
5 high-end desktop processor, game console GPU
6 server-grade CPU, high-end graphics card (FLOPS)
7 small cluster of servers, specialized AI hardware
8 supercomputer, large data center processing capacity
9 top 10 supercomputer, major cloud region processing power
10 combined processing power of major cloud provider
11 estimated global computing infrastructure
12 hypothetical exascale supercomputing network
15 theoretical quantum computing milestone
18 computational capacity to simulate human brain

Operations per Joule

-9 mechanical computing, early vacuum tube computers
-6 early transistor computers, 1960s mainframe
-3 personal computers of the 1980s, early laptops
0 desktop computers, game consoles, typical server
3 mobile phones, low-power embedded systems
6 specialized efficiency hardware, advanced mobile processors
9 theoretical thermodynamic limits of conventional computing
12 quantum computing theoretical efficiency, reversible computing
17 Landauer limit (theoretical maximum computing efficiency)

Operations per dollar

-3 mechanical calculators, earliest electronic computers
0 1980s personal computers, vintage game systems
3 low-end smartphone, basic cloud computing instance
6 high-performance computing, GPU cloud instances
9 major cloud provider data centers, enterprise computing
12 global computing infrastructure efficiency projection
15 theoretical future of computing price-performance

You'll never be ready for anything that matters

2025-03-13 08:00:00

In 2022, I was an alcoholic with a newborn baby and a startup, so I decided to ride a bicycle from San Francisco to Los Angeles (877km or 545mi).

AIDS/Lifecycle is a great charity (donate), but it was insanely selfish of me to commit to something like this at the time. I am so grateful for Chelsea, who supports my ambitions and forgives my folly.

This decision defied logic. Dad bod claimed me long before the baby arrived. I knew nothing about cycling. I did not own a bike.

But I had to change something -- no, I had to change myself. To become somebody else, I decided to start living somebody else's life. I don't remember how the bicycle got involved.

I wasn't ready to be sober, nor to be a father, nor to start a company, nor to ride that bike.

Seriously, I rode the first 100 miles with two flat tires because I assumed all tubes needed exactly 12 PSI.

You'll never be ready for such things. Do them anyway.

An Invitation To Shit On My Ideas

2025-03-09 08:00:00

I write extremely because I'm a weak writer.

Better writers accurately express ideas. They communicate their beliefs, their feelings, and the magnitude of their convictions. And then they choose word after word after word to share the view from their skull holes.

"Probably" and "maybe" dilute writing, but those words reduce intensity. I tend to err on the side of "too intense", but this is usually not how I feel -- it's just an artifact of weak writing.

I really wanted to use fancy words like "affect" and "valence" here, but I don't think I actually know what those words mean.

I'm still trying to solve this intesity dilemma, but it seems the only way to become a better writer is to write more. Consider this a disclaimer, an advance apology, and a big "student driver" sign for this blog.

To help me grow more quickly, please post feedback. Poke holes in my theories. Give counterexamples to my claims. Share your experience.

My therapist says that effective feedback follows this pattern: "When I see <phenomenon\>, I feel <emotion\>." For example: "When I see dishes in the sink, I feel anxious and overwhelmed." It's difficult (but so important) to remove judgements/assumptions when you're speaking about your experience.

Thank you for all the insightful comments across the link aggregators. Thank you for brightening up my inbox. Thank you for bringing the best parts of the internet to my feeds on X, Bluesky, and Mastodon.

Thanks. With your continued help, I can [probably] become a better writer, and [maybe] a better thinker.

Begrudgingly choosing CBOR over MessagePack

2025-03-01 08:00:00

In my pursuit of a sharable programming language, I need a suitable serialization format that's (1) performant to send/store and (2) easy to understand/implement.

Serialized scrapscript expressions are called "flat scraps".

In a previous essay, I crammed scrapscript into MessagePack.

At the time, I didn't realize that Max Bernstein had already written an entire serializer in ~100 LOC. Mind blown!

After further experiments, I somehow convinced myself that this serialization format also needed to (3) commit to existing standards, (4) work overtime as a pseudo-IR, (5), and run on relatively crappy hardware.

I'm still in the discovery phase here. Max's format remains very attractive after witnessing the weight of popular CBOR and msgpack implementations.

Meanwhile, Peter Saxton (EYG) sent me a friendly email recommending CBOR as a potential alternative to MessagePack.

Uh oh -- competing standards? Marginal design tradeoffs? Open-source woes? Buckle up!

Drama is fun, but not relevant to this essay. This post provides a solid summary of CBOR's history. This comment links to the most contentious public spats.

Which is cooler?

Obviously MessagePack is what cool kids would use.

Compare the subheadings on each landing page:

  • msgpack: "It's like JSON. but fast and small."
  • CBOR: "RFC 8949 Concise Binary Object Representation"

One of these formats is wearing a damn necktie.

Everything about CBOR is uncool. It was designed by a committee. It reeks of RFCs. Acronyms are lame. Saying "SEE-BORE" is like licking a nickel. One of the authors is "Carsten Bormann", which makes the name feel masturbatory.

CBOR was inspired by MessagePack. MessagePack was developed and promoted by Sadayuki Furuhashi ("frsyuki").

-- RFC 8949

Loyalty to an "original" brand has merit. Instead of chasing mere incremental improvements, you can support creators who synthesize value from nearly nothing. To favor derivative work can feel like choosing bureaucracy over personal expression.

Which is more efficient?

But many people don't care about "coolness" -- they want compression and speed and performance.

In these benchmarks, the author compared performance between two popular Go libraries. From these tests, it appears that the CBOR library encodes/decodes ~200% faster.

Following bar chart show the time taken to encode basic data types - nil, int64, uint64, bool, bytes, string, array and map. This benchmark was done in go-language, using msgpack package and gson package. Source code is available here, here and here.

Which is simpler?

But efficiency isn't everything. I usually choose conceptual simplicity over performance. Like most makers, I resent depending on forces I cannot understand.

To measure complexity, you can often use documentation length as a proxy. MessagePack is just a markdown file. The CBOR spec has its own gravitational field.

However, upon further scrutiny, I've found that the documentation sniff-test misled me. This HN comment shares my latest thoughts:

Yeah, I skipped all the drama, read the spec and implemented an encoder/decoder. CBOR is just how MessagePack-like format should have been done from the beginning: it's technically superior in a sense that it's neat and simple, replacing many specialized rules with one generalization.

At its top-level, MessagePack defines a bunch of types: integers, floats, arrays, extensions, etc. CBOR unifies these types with "tags"; this pattern seems much easier to explain and implement.

This person posits that CBOR's tags are poorly designed. Although I respectfully disagree with his conclusions, I think he makes some great points.

Which is more popular?

"Serialization" often connotes "communication". Bandwidth is expensive, so formats like MessagePack and CBOR make obvious candidates for computer protocols.

Metcalfe's Law states that the value of a protocol is proportional to its popularity.

The data speak for itself:

3.1K☆ C msgpack/msgpack-c
2.4K☆ Go vmihailenco/msgpack
1.9K☆ Python msgpack/msgpack-python
1.8K☆ Go tinylib/msgp
1.4K☆ Java msgpack/msgpack-java
1.4K☆ JS msgpack/msgpack-javascript
1.2K☆ Rust# 3Hren/msgpack-rust
1.0K☆ JS kawanet/msgpack-lite
837☆ C# msgpack/msgpack-cli
806☆ Go fxamacker/cbor
784☆ PHP msgpack/msgpack-php
764☆ Ruby msgpack/msgpack-ruby
529☆ JS kriszyp/msgpackr
519☆ C intel/tinycbor
364☆ JS hildjj/node-cbor
354☆ C PJK/libcbor
320☆ JS paroga/cbor-js
311☆ JS msgpack/msgpack-node
303☆ JS kriszyp/cbor-x
300☆ Rust pyfisch/cbor
284☆ Rust enarx/ciborium
243☆ Python agronholm/cbor2
214☆ C# peteroupc/CBOR
210☆ Erlang msgpack/msgpack-erlang
196☆ Haskell well-typed/cborg
142☆ Swift valpackett/SwiftCBOR
138☆ Haskell msgpack/msgpack-haskell
119☆ Java c-rack/cbor-java

Which is better?

For my particular use-case, CBOR totally wins. Scrapscript expressions feel great inside CBOR's extension tags.

I prefer CBOR, but I don't like that I prefer CBOR. It irks me to use technology with political baggage.

Anyway, MessagePack and CBOR are vast improvements over JSON. As long as MessagePack retains its popular advantage, both options seem reasonable.

Protocols are important. Communicate with caution.